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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 10, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics
98
9Grizzlies
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
38
15
14
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
5-9
1-3
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
32
33
35
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
9-9
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
4-8
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
32
25
14
9
4
0
1
1
3
2
7
3-6
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
59%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
30
35
10
2
2
4
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
2-6
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
22
28
6
6
1
2
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
26
20
11
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.8
24
25
4
6
3
5
1
0
2
4
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
0-2
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
21
34
0
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-10
0%
46%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
16
5
4
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-12
1-2
17%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.9
11
0
1-2
45%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
7
0
1-3
51%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
7
0
0-1
49%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
5
0
0-1
47%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
36
32
11
11
1
0
1
0
2
2
9
1-1
100%
5-17
6-13
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
33
31
18
5
4
2
2
0
5
0
5
11-13
85%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.0
32
32
15
10
0
2
2
1
2
4
6
4-6
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
31
31
4
4
3
2
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.8
30
28
12
9
2
0
1
2
4
4
5
4-4
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
38
27
25
13
2
1
1
2
2
8
5
8-8
100%
7-16
5-12
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.0
20
9
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
1-5
20%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.6
15
12
6
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.6
5
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
18
1
2-4
49%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
14
1
2-4
46%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
2
0
0-0
43%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.