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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs
106
28Nets
79
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
30
32
17
8
0
1
2
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
54%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
28
31
25
11
2
0
1
0
0
4
7
1-1
100%
12-17
7-14
71%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
25
28
6
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
22
22
8
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
20
24
0
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
18
19
11
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
18
21
9
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
17
8
5
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
16
20
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
15
18
8
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
13
7
13
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
3-5
60%
5-7
2-3
71%
55%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
11
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
32
33
18
5
2
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
8-17
7-15
47%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
29
20
8
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
28
29
9
9
1
0
1
0
4
0
9
1-2
50%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
28
34
16
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
2-2
100%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
24
18
2
0
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
24
25
5
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
21
28
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
15
5
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
13
9
10
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
13
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
0-2
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
8
13
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.