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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards41%102114
13Bulls59%105100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
35
36
17
5
10
3
2
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
32
34
14
8
2
2
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
30
33
14
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
30
32
8
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
20
8
14
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-11
1-3
64%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
27
9
10
12
3
0
0
1
0
7
5
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
24
18
16
5
4
1
0
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
15
17
11
2
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
43%
1-1
100%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
13
14
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
13
2
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
32
1
6-11
53%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.3
38
38
19
4
7
3
2
0
2
2
2
6-7
86%
5-12
7-13
42%
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
31
31
23
0
1
0
1
1
4
0
0
5-5
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.9
29
31
7
9
2
1
1
2
0
1
8
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.5
29
32
15
10
1
0
1
1
2
1
9
3-4
75%
6-11
6-13
55%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
19
28
4
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.2
21
19
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.0
20
19
9
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
19
7
0
9
4
1
0
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
0-7
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.0
16
9
10
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.9
11
16
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.9
5
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.0
10
0
0-1
42%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.3
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.