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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat22%100103
2Warriors78%110111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
36.3
33.7
15
45%
12
4
0
1
2
4
2
10
3-4
75%
6-10
5-11
60%
49%
0-5
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
35.8
31.0
13
60%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
32.7
29.1
14
58%
10
2
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
32.6
30.4
20
43%
7
11
0
1
1
0
4
3
8-8
100%
6-20
7-15
30%
48%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
25.6
21.2
7
44%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
33.6
29.1
15
56%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
27.9
15.2
13
87%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
7.0
2.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
4.7
8.1
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
3.8
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
26.7
1
4-8
57%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
12.3
0
1-3
47%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
2.4
0
0-0
56%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
37.6
30.2
31
52%
2
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
7-16
4-7
44%
54%
4-11
36%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
35.6
32.9
22
58%
12
6
1
1
0
2
3
9
6-11
55%
8-12
3-7
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
34.5
33.9
17
52%
7
2
2
1
0
3
1
6
3-3
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.1
21.0
21.3
8
80%
9
1
0
0
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
16.4
22.6
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
30.2
24.5
9
92%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
26.9
22.6
12
51%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.3
17.1
15.8
2
33%
4
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
9.6
14.8
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
5.7
11.4
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
5.5
10.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.1
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.