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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 12, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers59%107110
11Mavericks41%104107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
42
34
27
10
7
2
1
0
4
3
7
6-8
75%
6-11
8-14
55%
54%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
40
28
10
1
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
39
29
22
2
9
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-12
5-10
42%
47%
3-8
38%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
37
32
15
11
0
0
1
2
0
6
5
2-2
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
48%
3-9
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
23
33
2
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
27
25
12
2
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-4
0%
41%
4-7
57%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
23
23
10
2
2
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
21
13
10
9
0
2
0
1
0
5
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
13
12
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
4
0
0-0
38%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
3
0
0-1
51%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
3
0
0-0
49%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
2
0
0-0
44%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
43
26
16
2
10
1
1
1
5
0
2
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
42
30
11
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
3-8
38%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
41
27
25
8
1
2
1
0
3
1
7
2-4
50%
7-8
3-6
88%
52%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
38
31
17
11
3
0
1
0
3
1
10
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
49%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
32
27
14
12
3
0
1
1
2
4
8
6-6
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
19
18
5
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-3
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
18
14
10
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
16
23
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
12
21
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
4
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
6
0
1-1
49%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
5
0
0-1
55%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
4
0
0-1
47%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.