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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks
89
4Thunder
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
33
20
14
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
7-8
88%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
31
17
18
3
6
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-3
33%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
31
4
0
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
0-5
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
15
15
10
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
14
5
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
32
10
8
9
2
2
0
0
2
3
6
4-5
80%
2-10
1-3
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
27
3
5
4
3
3
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
25
1
17
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
3-5
60%
7-8
0-0
88%
46%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
23
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
9
18
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
32
1
5-10
48%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
31
1
3-7
44%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
28
1
3-7
46%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
33
36
29
10
4
1
1
0
3
1
9
7-9
78%
5-6
7-12
83%
55%
4-8
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
31
34
20
11
0
0
1
3
5
5
6
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
53%
3-6
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
27
21
9
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
24
27
6
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
5
2-3
67%
2-6
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
15
34
0
7
8
2
2
0
1
1
6
0-4
0%
0-3
7-14
0%
49%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.4
25
15
10
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
25
26
18
1
5
0
1
0
4
1
0
3-5
60%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
3-6
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
20
3
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
15
18
4
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
13
14
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
2-5
40%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.2
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
4
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.2
9
0
1-1
49%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.