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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors78%113110
24Nuggets22%102112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
40
33
38
5
9
3
2
1
8
2
3
7-7
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
54%
5-12
42%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
37
34
17
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.1
32
21
15
7
2
1
1
3
2
0
7
1-2
50%
7-8
2-4
88%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
19
20
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
13
3
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
32
26
4
6
4
1
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
31
24
18
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-13
3-6
38%
51%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.3
16
16
0
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.1
9
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
7
9
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
6
10
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
2
1-2
50%
0-5
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
34
1
4-7
52%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
13
0
1-3
48%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.0
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
39
31
19
7
0
0
1
1
1
3
4
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
38
33
28
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
17-19
89%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
32
28
3
2
9
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
20
23
5
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
16
21
6
7
2
3
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
26
25
18
11
1
0
1
0
3
2
9
2-2
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
45%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
26
27
21
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
5-6
83%
5-6
4-8
83%
47%
2-5
40%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
17
21
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
38%
0-2
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
15
15
8
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
6
20
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
11
0
2-4
47%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.0
3
0
0-0
42%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.