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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz
85
19Trail Blazers
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.8
33
34
19
6
9
2
1
0
1
1
5
6-7
86%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
1-4
25%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.2
32
23
19
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
3-5
60%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.7
26
25
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
26
27
16
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
2-2
100%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
24
23
3
8
1
1
1
3
4
2
6
3-6
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.2
29
22
15
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
25
21
7
7
2
2
1
0
1
3
4
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.9
21
20
2
6
0
0
1
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
16
17
0
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.7
8
21
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.5
10
0
2-4
52%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.2
6
0
1-1
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
34
35
15
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-15
6-12
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
29
37
21
7
10
2
1
1
4
1
6
1-1
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
4-7
57%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
27
28
10
7
2
1
1
4
1
3
4
2-4
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
21
25
6
6
1
0
1
2
1
3
3
2-4
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.4
19
15
4
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
26
17
12
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
54%
2-3
67%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
24
19
2
12
0
0
0
0
1
5
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
21
27
11
3
1
3
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.1
16
13
12
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
3-3
100%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
15
20
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.7
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.8
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.