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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 14, 2016
3:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Raptors
106
23Magic
103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.8
47
37
24
8
6
1
2
1
2
1
7
12-14
86%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
2-9
22%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
40
36
13
11
4
1
1
1
2
2
9
5-6
83%
4-17
7-15
24%
46%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.7
30
28
13
9
2
1
0
3
1
3
6
1-3
33%
6-11
5-9
55%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.7
20
19
11
2
0
3
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
3-3
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.9
17
17
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.8
36
27
11
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
36
25
19
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
9-10
3-5
90%
50%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.4
21
18
11
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
5-6
83%
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.9
17
22
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
2
0
0-0
51%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
1
0
0-0
44%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
1
0
0-0
47%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.8
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
45
34
27
6
6
2
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
46%
5-7
71%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
44
35
16
11
3
1
1
0
4
1
10
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
39
32
17
11
4
0
1
3
1
2
9
1-1
100%
8-21
8-16
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
34
32
21
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
49%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
22
17
2
6
2
0
0
4
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
37
12
16
5
4
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
8-13
2-4
62%
48%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
20
7
4
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.9
14
18
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
7
24
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
11
0
1-2
41%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
4
0
0-1
52%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.