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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 14, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
95
1Spurs
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
37
35
22
7
5
0
1
0
4
2
5
3-4
75%
8-14
7-14
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
37
32
10
12
1
0
1
0
2
0
12
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
35
28
18
14
1
1
0
0
2
4
10
4-5
80%
7-11
2-5
64%
50%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
33
31
17
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
3-7
43%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
32
31
16
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
20
24
5
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-4
25%
38%
1-4
25%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
19
22
7
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
15
15
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
11
11
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
3
0
0-0
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
3
0
0-1
47%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
2
0
0-0
43%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
40
32
20
10
5
1
2
2
4
2
8
6-6
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
53%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
35
28
24
4
2
3
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
11-16
5-9
69%
51%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
33
24
9
6
3
1
1
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
51%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
29
31
6
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-7
7-14
29%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
21
24
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
26
22
10
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-4
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
18
11
13
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
13
17
6
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
2-2
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
10
21
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
9
10
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
5
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
8
0
2-3
55%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
4
0
0-1
44%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.