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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 15, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards35%101118
10Pacers65%106104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
31
36
28
7
8
1
2
0
3
2
5
3-5
60%
11-18
6-13
61%
45%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
30
31
3
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
28
31
5
6
5
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
21
17
8
8
2
1
1
1
4
6
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
18
12
7
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
24
12
12
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
2-3
67%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
23
21
10
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
44%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
23
6
12
6
1
2
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
6-8
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
22
25
22
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
5-8
3-8
63%
43%
4-7
57%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
17
20
8
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
0-2
0%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
1-2
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
28
1
3-6
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
37
33
17
3
3
1
2
1
0
0
3
3-5
60%
7-12
5-9
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
34
33
21
5
7
3
2
1
5
1
4
8-8
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
1-7
14%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
34
35
19
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
2-4
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
27
27
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
21
23
7
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
57%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
20
19
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.6
20
13
4
4
3
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
18
9
10
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
11
13
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.5
8
15
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
8
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
3
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
13
0
2-4
46%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.