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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 15, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Suns21%102103
6Celtics79%113117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 24.1
40.4
19.5
16
53%
0
4
2
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
2-7
29%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 30.7
26.8
33.5
7
44%
5
2
2
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 19.2
24.4
29.3
9
39%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 33.3
23.6
18.0
6
61%
9
2
0
0
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
21.8
18.5
9
37%
9
4
1
1
0
1
1
8
5-5
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
23.6
3.3
10
73%
6
5
2
0
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 30.3
21.2
24.5
22
65%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
8-9
89%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
4-7
57%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.4
20.4
21.4
2
13%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
0-1
0%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.4
20.1
28.6
13
60%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 26.7
12.7
19.2
7
70%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.4
5.0
15.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 22.6
8.2
0
1-2
47%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.1
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
38.3
34.9
17
37%
7
3
2
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
6-17
4-8
35%
50%
1-4
25%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.5
29.1
33.2
17
54%
6
5
3
2
2
2
2
4
5-6
83%
3-8
4-7
38%
54%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.9
24.0
32.8
19
70%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
6-6
100%
2-6
6-11
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.9
23.8
20.7
11
56%
10
2
0
1
0
0
2
8
2-4
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
18.6
26.8
13
63%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-3
33%
6-9
4-6
67%
61%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.9
32.5
26.2
10
39%
11
11
2
1
2
3
3
8
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-5
20%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
26.5
17.9
21
62%
9
1
3
1
1
2
3
6
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
53%
4-6
67%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
25.1
24.9
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.9
19.6
13.8
7
60%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.2
1.2
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
1.2
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
5.7
0
1-2
52%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
3.4
0
1-1
53%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.5
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.