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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 15, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Trail Blazers
116
28Nets
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.5
37
33
33
3
10
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
8-14
5-9
57%
48%
5-10
50%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
35
34
13
4
7
2
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
6-12
45%
47%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.3
31
27
10
3
0
1
1
4
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
22
22
7
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.4
16
17
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
27
24
19
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
5-6
83%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
24
21
14
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
6
2-4
50%
6-6
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
22
21
8
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
2-6
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
16
18
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.1
8
14
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.2
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.7
3
0
1-1
49%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.2
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
35
24
10
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
34
32
11
8
3
2
2
1
2
4
4
1-2
50%
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.5
33
34
15
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
3-6
50%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
32
21
15
9
9
0
0
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
28
31
25
7
1
0
1
1
2
3
4
7-10
70%
9-17
7-14
53%
52%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
20
9
11
10
1
1
0
0
0
5
5
3-4
75%
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
16
24
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
16
24
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
14
10
12
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
7
8
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
5
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
9
0
1-3
52%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.9
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.