Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Heat	54%	103	98	105.4	93	81.4
	23	Nuggets	46%	102	95	102.2	93	108.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	38.5	12	46%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	38.5	19	63%	17	2	1	11	4	2	6	11	3-5	60%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 34	37.0	11	55%	3	11	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 32	31.6	24	75%	3	3	0	1	3	4	0	3	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Gerald Green G · 6'7" 205 · 30	23.5	2	20%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	30.7	15	44%	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	23.4	8	80%	4	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	10.4	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	6.4	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DND - Shoulder Soreness
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Jarnell Stokes #12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Goran Dragic #7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	42	26	5	13	13	0	9	33	14-19	74%	36-69	52%	4-12	33%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	38.5	12	46%	5	2	1	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	38.5	19	63%	17	2	1	11	4	2	6	11	3-5	60%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 34	37.0	11	55%	3	11	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 32	31.6	24	75%	3	3	0	1	3	4	0	3	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Gerald Green G · 6'7" 205 · 30	23.5	2	20%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	30.7	15	44%	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	23.4	8	80%	4	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	10.4	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	6.4	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	\| DND - Shoulder Soreness
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Jarnell Stokes #12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Goran Dragic #7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	42	26	5	13	13	0	9	33	14-19	74%	36-69	52%	4-12	33%

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23 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	37.5	11	37%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	37.5	11	46%	4	2	0	0	3	2	0	4	6-6	100%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 34	30.5	7	58%	3	4	1	1	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 28	30.4	18	69%	8	1	2	0	1	4	1	7	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 26	26.2	14	58%	5	1	1	2	2	3	0	5	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25	27.5	9	45%	8	3	0	1	2	2	2	6	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 20	25.6	16	62%	1	4	0	1	2	0	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 21	17.7	9	64%	6	5	0	1	1	2	2	4	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	6.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sean Kilpatrick G · 6'4" 212 · 26	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jusuf Nurkić #23 · C · 6'11" 290 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	52%	37	23	4	6	13	0	6	31	25-26	96%	26-60	43%	6-18	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.3%

DEN

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

22

35

63%

DEN

10

28

36%

Midrange

MIA

14

34

41%

DEN

16

32

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

4

6.0

12

33%

50%

DEN

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIA

14

19

74%

DEN

25

26

96%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	24	75%	12.0 / 16
H. Whiteside	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Johnson	15	44%	7.5 / 17
L. Deng	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Udrih	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Winslow	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Stoudemire	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Green	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Richardson	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Arthur	18	69%	9.0 / 13
E. Mudiay	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Faried	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Harris	11	37%	5.5 / 15
D. Gallinari	11	46%	5.5 / 12
W. Barton	9	45%	4.5 / 10
N. Jokić	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Nelson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Foye	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 106.0 13 106.2	MIA 105.4 +3.2 DEN 102.2
Pace	25 93.7 19 95.3	MIA 81.4 DEN 108.4 +27.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.0 18 14.9	MIA 17.7 DEN 13.3 −4.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.8% 23 48.9%	MIA 51.9% +7.0% DEN 44.9%
TO %	15 14.0% 19 14.8%	MIA 13.5% DEN 13.5%
ORB %	16 23.9% 5 25.8%	MIA 22.5% +7.1% DEN 15.4%
FTrt	11 28.2 12 28.2	MIA 23.5 DEN 33.3 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.3% 9 60.1%	MIA 65.0% DEN 71.9% +6.9%
STL %	26 7.2% 20 7.7%	MIA 5.4% +1.1% DEN 4.3%
BLK %	1 10.3% 17 8.1%	MIA 21.7% +13.0% DEN 8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.8% 22 51.7%	MIA 53.3% +1.7% DEN 51.6%
Rim FG%	2 62.3% 27 54.8%	MIA 62.9% +27.2% DEN 35.7%
Mid FG%	14 40.5% 25 38.8%	MIA 41.2% DEN 50.0% +8.8%
3P %	27 33.6% 26 33.8%	MIA 33.3% DEN 33.3%
FT %	23 74.4% 14 76.6%	MIA 73.7% DEN 96.2% +22.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.0% 2 42.5%	MIA 43.2% +7.3% DEN 35.9%
Mid Att. %	26 40.9% 5 29.8%	MIA 42.0% DEN 41.0% −0.9%
3P Att. %	27 22.1% 17 27.7%	MIA 14.8% DEN 23.1% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	27.4	20.6
Points	98	95
Rebounds	42	37
Assists	26	23
Steals	5	4
Blocks	13	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	40-81	32-78
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	10-28
Midrange FG	14-34	16-32
2-Point FG	36-69	26-60
3-Point FG	4-12	6-18
Free Throws	14-19	25-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg