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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 17, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Mavericks19%9583
1Spurs81%107112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
28.0
30.6
5
36%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
1-1
100%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
26.3
33.6
12
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
24.2
26.7
4
20%
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
22.7
27.0
8
52%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
20.6
25.2
5
29%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
1-7
3-7
14%
44%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.6
19.8
18.1
9
48%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
17.3
6.3
4
32%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
16.4
14.6
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.6
16.1
21.3
5
32%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
15.5
16.1
15
74%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
2-3
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
15.0
11.5
5
56%
10
0
0
0
3
2
2
8
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
9.2
9.0
5
64%
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
8.9
11.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
29.1
34.4
15
55%
4
1
2
2
0
1
0
4
4-6
67%
4-8
5-10
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
28.0
22.7
4
24%
7
1
0
1
2
0
0
7
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-4
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
27.0
29.7
23
67%
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
9-15
6-13
60%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
25.4
30.0
2
20%
5
7
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
5-10
0%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
21.1
27.0
2
20%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
18.0
23.0
7
39%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
16.5
15.9
6
61%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
15.9
16.8
16
67%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
2-5
40%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
15.3
9.3
14
89%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
2-2
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
13.9
13.7
8
47%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
11.7
7.8
8
103%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
9.2
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
8.9
5.3
7
54%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.