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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 17, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers58%106126
24Nuggets42%103129
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
36
33
19
3
5
3
2
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
3-7
43%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
32
34
24
2
5
1
2
1
4
0
2
2-5
40%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
2-3
67%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
20
20
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.5
19
13
9
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
17
12
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
29
12
25
7
2
1
0
2
1
3
4
3-6
50%
11-13
2-4
85%
51%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.8
28
6
6
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.8
25
26
12
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
7-8
88%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
18
3
15
1
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
7-11
0-1
64%
45%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.7
17
15
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
34
1
3-6
51%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
22
1
3-5
57%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.7
10
0
1-3
46%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
38
35
20
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
47%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
37
22
10
4
6
3
1
1
7
0
4
2-8
25%
4-9
3-7
44%
39%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
27
23
13
9
1
1
1
0
0
6
3
3-5
60%
5-7
5-9
71%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
24
18
18
2
3
4
1
0
1
2
0
5-6
83%
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
1-3
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
23
35
23
4
2
2
1
0
4
2
2
10-10
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
44%
1-4
25%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
31
26
21
6
3
0
1
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
3-6
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
23
27
7
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
1-1
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
17
11
12
3
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
15
6
5
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
29
1
2-5
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
4
0
0-0
44%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.