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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2016
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers28%99113
22Knicks72%107119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
47
25
18
13
1
2
1
3
0
3
10
2-4
50%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
46
23
11
5
1
1
1
2
3
0
5
2-3
67%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
3-7
43%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
44
28
16
7
16
2
1
0
4
0
7
0-2
0%
8-22
5-11
36%
43%
0-6
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
26
28
20
7
0
2
0
2
1
0
7
0-2
0%
10-17
7-14
59%
49%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.8
17
20
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
41
25
11
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-3
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.7
24
18
16
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
3-5
60%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
15
10
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
14
14
6
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
13
15
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.3
4
10
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
17
0
1-2
42%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
6
0
0-1
43%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
49
15
19
7
7
1
0
0
3
0
7
3-7
43%
5-22
3-6
23%
49%
2-6
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
45
35
25
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
7-7
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
51%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.3
35
29
8
3
5
3
1
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.5
34
29
16
12
4
1
1
3
1
2
10
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
52%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 27.8
33
22
16
10
2
0
0
2
2
2
8
4-4
100%
6-11
4-6
55%
55%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
31
20
12
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
4-5
80%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.1
24
27
8
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
15
25
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 25.8
7
10
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.3
7
17
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 31.9
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.1
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.1
4
0
1-1
50%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.