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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors
132
3Cavaliers
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
31
29
16
7
10
0
1
2
1
2
5
4-7
57%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
28
34
35
5
4
3
2
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
52%
7-12
58%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
27
28
12
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
26
32
15
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.1
15
22
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
24
25
20
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
53%
4-5
80%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.1
19
12
8
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
16
16
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.4
15
16
4
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
12
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
10
16
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
9
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
7
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.0
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.1
33
36
16
5
5
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
7-13
8-14
54%
54%
0-3
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
23
30
8
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
21
33
3
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
47%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
21
29
14
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-6
33%
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
15
16
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
29
23
10
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
28
22
11
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
3-4
75%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
18
11
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
17
5
5
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
12
28
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
12
2
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
0-0
75%
42%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
11
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
35%
1-3
33%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
4
0
0-1
45%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.