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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 19, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder67%109110
24Nuggets33%103104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
39
30
27
5
12
3
2
0
4
4
1
6-9
67%
9-16
6-12
56%
49%
1-6
17%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
36
32
4
10
3
0
1
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
54%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
36
32
30
12
4
2
1
2
1
0
12
7-8
88%
7-14
6-11
50%
55%
3-9
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
30
25
10
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-2
0%
5-7
3-5
71%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
14
25
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
25
19
25
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
5-7
71%
10-14
4-7
71%
54%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
23
27
5
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
1-4
25%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.4
20
18
0
4
6
4
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-6
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
12
14
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.2
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
8
0
1-1
48%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.2
4
0
0-0
44%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
52%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
39
30
27
3
1
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
6-12
3-8
50%
45%
4-9
44%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
33
28
13
3
9
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-7
43%
5-13
3-9
38%
40%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
30
35
11
6
2
0
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
28
25
17
15
1
0
1
1
1
7
8
5-6
83%
6-13
5-9
46%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
19
20
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
29
25
4
7
4
0
1
2
2
1
6
4-4
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
20
10
12
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-6
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
19
28
6
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
15
13
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.0
8
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-3
33%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
15
1
3-6
45%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
5
0
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
3
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.