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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers34%9896
23Magic66%10487
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
38
25
20
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
48%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
30
31
13
2
11
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
30
29
8
11
1
3
1
0
4
0
11
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
2-7
29%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
19
31
4
8
1
0
2
2
1
1
7
0-2
0%
2-2
4-8
100%
48%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.8
8
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
30
28
17
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
3-5
60%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.7
28
19
15
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
3-4
75%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
28
12
12
6
1
2
0
5
0
1
5
5-8
63%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
1-1
100%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
18
13
3
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-5
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
12
13
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
12
0
1-1
42%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.3
7
0
1-2
51%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
5
0
0-1
42%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
41
22
21
6
10
2
1
0
3
3
3
5-9
56%
8-12
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
37
26
9
3
1
5
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-9
2-5
11%
51%
2-5
40%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
37
29
15
11
1
2
1
1
2
2
9
1-2
50%
7-15
8-14
47%
54%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
36
33
15
10
2
1
1
1
1
1
9
4-7
57%
4-10
4-7
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
12
18
3
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
32
21
7
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
54%
0-2
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.9
16
20
9
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
11
19
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Appling
G · 6'1" 185 · 23.9
6
10
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
5
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
9
0
1-2
51%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.