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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat
87
15Wizards
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
36
32
16
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
48%
3-3
100%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
35
31
14
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
28
33
18
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
5-6
5-11
83%
51%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
27
20
4
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
11
32
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
5-9
100%
59%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
36
24
9
6
6
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
35
19
6
3
4
1
1
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
21
8
11
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
5-6
2-3
83%
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
6
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
5
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
23
1
5-11
49%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
11
0
1-2
48%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
35
31
15
12
2
0
1
2
0
5
7
1-2
50%
7-12
6-10
58%
55%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
32
36
18
4
10
0
2
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
6-9
7-14
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
29
30
11
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
26
17
16
6
1
5
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
8-15
3-5
53%
51%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
19
15
0
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
26
34
10
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
25
25
18
3
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
3-4
75%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
22
20
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
20
22
6
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.6
12
0
1-3
52%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.