Final Win Prob. pScore
2237%97
87
1563%102
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
100.08782.3
WAS logo Wizards
119.18994.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)87
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Stokes 17' Jump Shot84
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0WASMISS Sessions 1' Layup84
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAWinslow 22' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)84
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:11WASNeal 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWinslow 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43WASEddie 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)80
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWinslow Traveling Turnover (P1.T21)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10WASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T10)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10WASBlair OFF.Foul (P1) (J.Capers)80
101
Q4 - 2:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHeat Rebound79
101
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 279
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIASUB: Haslem FOR Deng79
101
Q4 - 2:25WASSUB: Eddie FOR Temple79
101
Q4 - 2:25MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)79
101
Q4 - 2:25WASOubre Jr. P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Capers)79
101
Q4 - 2:41WASBlair 21' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58WASSUB: Blair FOR Gortat79
99
Q4 - 2:58WASSUB: Temple FOR Wall79
99
Q4 - 2:58WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)79
99
Q4 - 2:58MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13WASWall Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Capers)79
98
Q4 - 3:13WASWall 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)79
98
Q4 - 3:17WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42WASSessions 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wall 10 AST)79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:48MIAStokes 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:53MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55WASMISS Gortat 1' Layup77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Stokes 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 4:19WASMISS Wall 29' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAStokes 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)77
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAHeat Rebound75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01WASGortat L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (L.Wood)75
94
Q4 - 5:01MIAHeat Rebound75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Winslow 5' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Johnson FOR Green75
94
Q4 - 5:12MIASUB: Stokes FOR Stoudemire75
94
Q4 - 5:1275
94
Q4 - 5:12WASNeal L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Capers)75
94
Q4 - 5:12MIAHeat Rebound75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:22WASMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAStoudemire Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Green 2 AST)75
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41WASMISS Gortat 2' Layup73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45MIAGortat BLOCK (2 BLK)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAOubre Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09WASWall 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Deng 12' Jump Shot73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28WASWall P.FOUL (P5.T2) (J.Capers)73
92
Q4 - 6:38MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:39WASMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:44WASSUB: Oubre Jr. FOR Nene73
92
Q4 - 6:44WASSUB: Wall FOR Beal73
92
Q4 - 6:44MIARichardson P.FOUL (P3.T3) (J.Capers)73
92
Q4 - 7:00MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh72
92
Q4 - 7:00MIASUB: Green FOR Johnson72
92
Q4 - 7:00WASSUB: Gortat FOR Dudley72
92
Q4 - 7:00MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00WASDudley S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Capers)71
92
Q4 - 7:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:11WASMISS Dudley 17' Jump Shot71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24WASBeal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Winslow 6 AST)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:02WASNeal 3' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)68
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11WASDudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 8:29WASBeal 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:32WASBeal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 8:33WASMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:13WASMISS Sessions 10' Jump Shot66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:24MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P4.T19)66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:24MIAStoudemire OFF.Foul (P2) (D.Jones)66
88
Q4 - 9:46MIASUB: Bosh FOR Deng66
88
Q4 - 9:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)66
88
Q4 - 9:47WASNene 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 10:02WASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot66
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:17WASNeal 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)66
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 10:22WASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot66
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 10:40MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 10:41WASMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot66
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 10:50MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Bosh66
83
Q4 - 10:50MIABosh P.FOUL (P5.T2) (D.Jones)66
83
Q4 - 11:08MIARichardson Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Winslow 5 AST)66
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 11:28WASSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 11:28WASSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 11:28MIABosh S.FOUL (P4.T1) (D.Jones)64
81
Q4 - 11:33MIANene STEAL (5 STL)64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 11:44WASMISS Sessions 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 12:0064
81
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)64
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0WASSessions 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)64
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)64
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Winslow 14' Jump Shot64
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0WASBeal 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q3 - 1:03WASBeal P.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Capers)62
77
Q3 - 1:26WASBeal 5' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Dudley 4 AST)62
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 1:38WASSUB: Sessions FOR Wall61
75
Q3 - 1:38WASSUB: Neal FOR Temple61
75
Q3 - 1:38MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 1:38WASWall S.FOUL (P4.T4) (D.Jones)60
75
Q3 - 2:01WASDudley 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wall 9 AST)60
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 2:08WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)60
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot60
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 2:33WASGortat 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (15 PTS) (Dudley 3 AST)60
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 2:42WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)60
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem 21' Jump Shot60
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q3 - 3:00WASBeal 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 3:18MIADeng 1' Cutting Layup Shot (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)60
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 3:38WASTemple 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)58
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Green FOR Stoudemire58
66
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Deng FOR Johnson58
66
Q3 - 3:56MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh58
66
Q3 - 3:56WASSUB: Dudley FOR Nene58
66
Q3 - 3:56WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)58
66
Q3 - 3:59MIAStoudemire 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)58
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q3 - 4:29WASBeal 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)56
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 4:35WASNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
13.9%
63
86.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot56
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 4:53WASNene Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)56
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 5:17WASMISS Beal 3PT Jump Shot53
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 5:27MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)53
12.6%
61
87.4%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 5:38WASMISS Temple 18' Jump Shot51
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 5:50WASSUB: Beal FOR Oubre Jr.51
61
Q3 - 5:50WASWIZARDS Rebound51
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q3 - 5:53WASMISS Oubre Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.5%
61
89.5%
Q3 - 5:57WASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
9.3%
61
90.7%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup51
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 6:04WASNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)51
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
9.8%
61
90.2%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHeat Rebound50
61
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 250
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 6:19WASWall S.FOUL (P3.T3) (D.Jones)50
61
Q3 - 6:26MIASUB: Winslow FOR Deng50
61
Q3 - 6:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)50
61
Q3 - 6:40WASNene 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)50
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 6:44MIANene STEAL (4 STL)50
11.3%
59
88.7%
Q3 - 7:07WASTemple 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 7:12MIASUB: Richardson FOR Green50
57
Q3 - 7:12MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P3.T1) (J.Capers)50
57
Q3 - 7:12WASWIZARDS Rebound50
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 7:12WASMISS Wall 2' Layup50
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 7:16WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)50
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Layup50
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 7:35WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 7:47WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 8:03MIAHeat Rebound50
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 8:03WASMISS Nene 1' Layup50
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 8:03WASNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 8:04WASMISS Nene 1' Layup50
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 8:20MIAJohnson 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS)50
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 8:39WASWall 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q3 - 8:54MIABosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)48
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q3 - 9:07WASWall P.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Jones)46
55
Q3 - 9:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 9:20WASMISS Oubre Jr. 3PT Jump Shot46
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)46
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 10:04WASTemple 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)43
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q3 - 10:15MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)43
11.1%
53
88.9%
Q3 - 10:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Green 20' Jump Shot40
7.9%
53
92.1%
Q3 - 10:32WASNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 10:47MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
7.5%
53
92.5%
Q3 - 10:47MIAHeat Rebound39
53
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 239
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q3 - 10:47WASOubre Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)39
53
Q3 - 11:14WASNene 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)39
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 11:35MIAGreen 7' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q3 - 12:0037
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASGortat Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)37
8.0%
51
92.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0WASSUB: Neal FOR Temple37
49
Q2 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Winslow FOR Johnson37
49
Q2 - 0:15.0WASWIZARDS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
49
Q2 - 0:21.0MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0WASWall 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABeal STEAL (1 STL)35
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASMISS Beal 23' Jump Shot35
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 1:14MIASUB: Johnson FOR Winslow35
47
Q2 - 1:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)35
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 1:39WASGortat Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)35
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 1:45WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)35
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 1:46WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 1:52WASBeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 1:53WASMISS Beal 7' Jump Shot35
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 2:09MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)35
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 2:36WASBeal 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)33
11.5%
45
88.5%
Q2 - 2:48MIASUB: Green FOR Johnson33
43
Q2 - 2:48WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
43
Q2 - 2:48WASWIZARDS Rebound33
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 2:48WASMISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot33
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 2:58WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 2:59WASMISS Dudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 3:07WASWall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMISS Deng 15' Jump Shot33
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 3:18WASWall Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)33
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q2 - 3:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 3:34WASGortat P.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Capers)31
43
Q2 - 3:48WASBeal 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
12.1%
43
87.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)31
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 4:24WASTemple 13' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 4:41MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T13)31
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 4:41MIABosh OFF.Foul (P2) (D.Jones)31
39
Q2 - 5:04WASGortat 3' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)31
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 5:05WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 5:06WASMISS Beal 2' Layup31
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIARichardson L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Jones)31
37
Q2 - 5:12WASWIZARDS Rebound31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 5:13WASMISS Wall 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 5:24WASSUB: Beal FOR Neal31
37
Q2 - 5:24WASWIZARDS Rebound31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 5:25WASMISS Wall 1' Layup31
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 5:39WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot31
20.7%
37
79.3%
Q2 - 5:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 5:57WASMISS Neal 20' Jump Shot31
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 6:13MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIASUB: Deng FOR Whiteside29
37
Q2 - 6:18MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)29
37
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Stoudemire29
37
Q2 - 6:30MIASUB: Richardson FOR Green29
37
Q2 - 6:30MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
37
Q2 - 6:37WASDudley 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)29
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 6:40WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 6:41WASMISS Dudley 18' Jump Shot29
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 6:54WASWIZARDS Rebound29
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Winslow 16' Jump Shot29
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 7:09WASSUB: Gortat FOR Nene29
35
Q2 - 7:09MIASUB: Bosh FOR Deng29
35
Q2 - 7:09WASNene L.B.FOUL (P3.T4) (D.Jones)29
35
Q2 - 7:09MIAHeat Rebound29
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup29
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 7:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Green 19' Jump Shot29
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 7:42WASWall 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)29
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 7:51MIAJohnson Backcourt Turnover (P2.T12)29
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 8:11WASMISS Nene 2' Layup29
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 8:24MIANene STEAL (3 STL)29
33
Q2 - 8:24WASJump Ball Nene vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Wall29
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 8:31WASSUB: Temple FOR Beal29
33
Q2 - 8:31WASSUB: Wall FOR Sessions29
33
Q2 - 8:31WASNene P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Jones)29
33
Q2 - 8:50WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 8:50WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:5029
31
Q2 - 8:50MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Jones)29
31
Q2 - 8:59MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)29
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 9:02MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Green 12' Jump Shot27
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 9:17WASMISS Neal 15' Jump Shot27
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 9:39WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 227
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:40MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson27
31
Q2 - 9:40MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 9:40WASDudley S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)26
31
Q2 - 9:41MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Green 9' Jump Shot26
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:48WASMISS Sessions 3' Layup26
24.1%
31
75.9%
Q2 - 9:54MIASessions STEAL (1 STL)26
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 9:55WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 9:55WASWIZARDS Rebound26
30
Q2 - 9:55WASMISS Beal Free Throw 1 of 226
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 9:55MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Capers)26
30
Q2 - 10:07MIAStoudemire 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 10:35WASDudley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)24
23.1%
30
76.9%
Q2 - 10:46MIARichardson P.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)24
28
Q2 - 10:49MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (2 PTS)24
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q2 - 11:00WASBeal P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Capers)22
28
Q2 - 11:08WASSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)22
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 11:16MIAStoudemire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)22
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 11:36WASNene 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)22
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 11:46MIANene STEAL (2 STL)22
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 12:0022
26
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS22
26.6%
26
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
26
Q1 - 0:03.0MIADeng 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)22
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0WASSessions Personal Take Foul (P1.T3) (D.Jones)19
26
Q1 - 0:24.0WASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)19
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0WASMISS Gortat 4' Jump Shot16
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIADeng 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)16
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 1:07WASDudley 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)14
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 1:14WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 1:15WASMISS Dudley 21' Jump Shot14
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:34MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Whiteside14
24
Q1 - 1:34MIAGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)14
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 1:49WASSUB: Neal FOR Temple14
24
Q1 - 1:49WASSessions Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 1:54MIADudley STEAL (2 STL)14
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 2:10WASGortat 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Temple 3 AST)14
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 2:20WASSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Green 1' Layup14
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 2:35MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 2:36WASMISS Beal 12' Jump Shot14
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 2:53WASSUB: Sessions FOR Wall14
22
Q1 - 2:53MIASUB: Green FOR Johnson14
22
Q1 - 2:53MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh14
22
Q1 - 2:53WASWIZARDS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
22
Q1 - 2:53MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)14
18.8%
22
81.2%
Q1 - 2:53MIAJohnson OFF.Foul (P2) (J.Capers)14
22
Q1 - 3:11WASGortat 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)14
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 3:23MIADudley STEAL (1 STL)14
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 3:41WASWall 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)14
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWhiteside 11' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)14
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 4:17WASDudley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Temple 2 AST)12
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 4:19WASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 4:20WASMISS Temple 20' Jump Shot12
28.6%
15
71.4%
Q1 - 4:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
27.4%
15
72.6%
Q1 - 4:34WASSUB: Dudley FOR Nene11
15
Q1 - 4:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
27.1%
15
72.9%
Q1 - 4:34WASNene S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Jones)10
15
Q1 - 4:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
26.2%
15
73.8%
Q1 - 4:46WASMISS Gortat 4' Jump Shot10
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 5:07MIAJohnson 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 5:29WASSUB: Beal FOR Oubre Jr.8
15
Q1 - 5:29WASWall Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)8
23.9%
15
76.1%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWinslow Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)8
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:54WASWall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 6:05WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
21.0%
15
79.0%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot6
21.4%
15
78.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIASUB: Winslow FOR Deng6
15
Q1 - 6:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
15
Q1 - 6:22WASWall 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIANene STEAL (1 STL)6
13
Q1 - 6:42WASJump Ball Nene vs. Whiteside: Tip to6
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 6:42WASHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation6
13
Q1 - 7:04WASTemple Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIASUB: Richardson FOR Green6
12
Q1 - 7:04WASTemple Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 7:04MIAGreen S.FOUL (P1.T4) (L.Wood)6
11
Q1 - 7:07MIATemple STEAL (1 STL)6
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 7:23WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 7:23WASWIZARDS Rebound6
10
Q1 - 7:23WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 26
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Capers)6
10
Q1 - 7:31WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Deng 3' Layup6
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 7:40WASOubre Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 7:54WASWIZARDS Rebound6
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 8:09WASMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot6
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIAJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 8:43WASGortat 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)4
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 8:51WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.6%
8
70.4%
Q1 - 9:09WASNene Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)4
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 9:16WASNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 9:17WASMISS Nene 1' Layup4
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 9:26WASGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 9:39WASWall L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (L.Wood)4
6
Q1 - 9:59WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 9:59WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
33.5%
5
66.5%
Q1 - 9:59MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2) (L.Wood)4
4
Q1 - 10:13MIAGreen 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:30WASNene 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)2
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Jones)2
2
Q1 - 10:48MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:07WASMISS Wall 16' Jump Shot0
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 11:19MIAOubre Jr. STEAL (1 STL)0
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:39WASNene 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Gortat vs. Whiteside: Tip to Wall0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
WAS
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
22
55%
WAS
20
34
59%
Midrange
MIA
14
31
45%
WAS
20
36
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
WAS
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
WAS
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1869%9.0 / 13
L. Deng1662%8.0 / 13
T. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
A. Stoudemire1179%5.5 / 7
J. Winslow956%4.5 / 8
J. Richardson638%3.0 / 8
G. Green420%2.0 / 10
J. Stokes450%2.0 / 4
H. Whiteside2100%1.0 / 1
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall1860%9.0 / 15
B. Beal1860%9.0 / 15
Nene1653%8.0 / 15
M. Gortat1558%7.5 / 13
G. Temple1179%5.5 / 7
J. Dudley1056%5.0 / 9
G. Neal758%3.5 / 6
R. Sessions638%3.0 / 8
J. Eddie3150%1.5 / 1
D. Blair2100%1.0 / 1
K. Oubre0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+11
-20
78
WAS
79
+16
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.1%
WAS
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.1
MIA 100.0
WAS 119.1 +19.1
Pace
93.7
98.7
MIA 82.3
WAS 94.4 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.0
MIA 17.5
WAS 15.3 −2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.1%
MIA 53.7%
WAS 55.2% +1.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.0%
MIA 21.7%
WAS 9.8% −11.9%
ORB %
23.9%
20.7%
MIA 23.3%
WAS 31.4% +8.1%
FTrt
28.2
26.3
MIA 26.5 +11.4
WAS 15.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
61.9%
MIA 69.7% +9.7%
WAS 60.0%
STL %
7.2%
8.7%
MIA 3.4%
WAS 12.4% +9.0%
BLK %
10.3%
6.6%
MIA 5.7%
WAS 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.1%
MIA 55.1%
WAS 55.8% +0.7%
Rim FG%
62.3%
60.2%
MIA 54.5%
WAS 58.8% +4.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 45.2%
WAS 55.6% +10.4%
3P %
33.6%
35.8%
MIA 46.7% +15.4%
WAS 31.3%
FT %
74.4%
73.0%
MIA 77.8%
WAS 84.6% +6.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
33.9%
MIA 32.4%
WAS 39.5% +7.2%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
37.9%
MIA 45.6%
WAS 41.9% −3.7%
3P Att. %
22.1%
28.2%
MIA 22.1% +3.5%
WAS 18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points87106
Rebounds3134
Assists2327
Steals311
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)23 (2)
Field Goals33-6845-86
At-the-Rim FG12-2220-34
Midrange FG14-3120-36
2-Point FG26-5340-70
3-Point FG7-155-16
Free Throws14-1811-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
36.1
16
62%
8
1
0
1
3
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
35.2
14
70%
2
5
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
28.3
18
69%
4
2
1
0
2
5
1
3
5-6
83%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 205 · 30
26.6
4
20%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
10.6
2
100%
2
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
35.7
9
56%
6
6
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
35.1
6
38%
3
4
1
2
4
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
20.8
11
79%
3
0
0
0
4
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
6.3
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
5.2
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
55%
31
23
3
4
20
0
7
24
14-18
78%
26-53
49%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.