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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers78%10891
28Nets22%9878
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
31
28
17
18
0
2
1
0
4
0
18
6-8
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.1
29
34
17
1
5
1
1
1
4
0
1
2-4
50%
6-11
7-13
55%
55%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
25
25
4
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
21
27
9
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
5-9
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
20
15
11
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
54%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
30
25
6
3
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
28
21
14
10
1
0
0
0
0
3
7
2-2
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
20
25
8
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
17
7
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
10
14
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
0-1
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
11
0
2-3
52%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
33
33
16
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
0-1
0%
8-15
8-15
53%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
31
33
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
25
27
12
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
25
31
14
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
7-13
6-11
54%
50%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.1
23
26
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
30
21
7
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
23
21
7
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
13
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
11
9
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.8
11
13
6
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
10
9
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
6
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.0
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.