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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Kings64%112112
29Lakers36%10793
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
35.0
34.2
36
66%
16
3
1
2
1
2
6
10
10-12
83%
13-22
8-16
59%
49%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.9
34.1
31.6
11
53%
5
17
0
2
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
33.0
34.0
16
74%
6
3
2
1
6
2
0
6
2-4
50%
4-6
5-11
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
29.4
14.9
12
61%
10
1
2
0
2
0
4
6
2-4
50%
5-8
2-3
63%
56%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
18.4
20.2
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
30.4
26.6
9
37%
9
0
0
1
1
3
0
9
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-7
14%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
21.3
27.5
10
74%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
19.4
22.4
6
30%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
12.9
15.4
4
50%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
2.1
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.8
2.1
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.3
1.9
6.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.1
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.6
35.0
29.5
14
40%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
5-13
5-11
38%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.2
32.8
29.7
15
55%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
7-8
88%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.4
31.2
20.6
15
49%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
5-5
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.1
30.7
25.2
6
24%
12
2
0
1
1
1
4
8
2-4
50%
2-11
4-10
18%
45%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.1
16.3
23.5
6
60%
2
0
3
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
29.7
17.2
18
65%
7
2
0
0
3
1
4
3
4-4
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
52%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.9
26.1
25.1
14
44%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
2-6
33%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
17.3
14.1
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.3
16.8
23.2
3
31%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
2.1
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.6
2.1
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
10.6
0
1-3
55%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.6
7.9
0
1-1
44%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.2
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.