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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pacers39%10497
11Kings61%108108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.5
35.5
16.3
17
61%
13
2
0
0
0
2
4
9
1-2
50%
8-13
3-6
62%
49%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.2
35.0
28.2
16
77%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
5-7
5-9
71%
48%
2-3
67%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
34.5
32.0
34
65%
4
1
0
2
2
2
1
3
12-14
86%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
4-8
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
28.6
22.5
9
65%
9
1
0
0
3
2
4
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
9.9
22.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
32.5
13.5
8
46%
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
31.8
24.5
11
40%
6
0
1
1
5
0
0
6
1-2
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
18.6
19.5
2
13%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.9
13.5
25.0
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
16.1
0
1-3
45%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.7
14.5
0
1-3
47%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
9.8
0
1-2
56%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
6.5
0
1-2
45%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
39.1
35.5
48
63%
13
2
1
2
0
5
2
11
13-20
65%
16-27
9-18
59%
48%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
34.2
24.7
6
50%
12
2
2
1
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.9
33.6
33.6
11
73%
10
10
2
2
1
1
2
8
7-8
88%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
27.8
31.7
8
57%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
18.4
24.7
5
28%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
24.7
20.6
11
53%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
50%
2-2
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
21.3
19.7
7
31%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-3
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
20.8
14.2
9
51%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.8
20.1
2.3
3
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
21.9
1
3-7
49%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.3
7.6
0
1-2
51%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
3.6
0
0-0
43%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.1
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.