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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 24, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder80%111106
29Nets20%100116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
41.0
34.0
32
61%
10
7
2
1
1
5
0
10
8-10
80%
9-12
7-12
75%
56%
2-10
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
39.7
31.8
27
46%
11
7
1
2
0
3
2
9
2-5
40%
11-23
6-13
48%
49%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
31.2
35.1
10
50%
9
1
1
1
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
54%
0-2
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
15.4
17.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.2
11.5
10.4
3
80%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
32.8
28.6
9
41%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
30.4
21.8
8
33%
9
0
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-12
5-9
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
20.5
17.9
7
58%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.5
12.7
17.3
10
100%
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
4.8
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
18.7
0
2-4
58%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.2
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
1.2
0
0-0
33%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
39.0
27.3
14
41%
14
3
1
1
1
1
7
7
0-0
-
7-17
5-10
41%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
35.3
28.6
13
44%
0
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-11
2-5
36%
45%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
32.5
27.2
31
66%
10
2
0
1
3
1
5
5
9-10
90%
11-19
6-13
58%
50%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
27.5
25.1
11
53%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
5-10
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
27.3
25.9
9
41%
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
28.7
23.6
18
75%
3
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
4-6
67%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
20.9
17.8
9
60%
3
4
4
1
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
15.2
15.5
5
51%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.2
8.0
14.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.2
5.7
6.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
12.9
0
1-2
40%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.9
8.3
0
1-3
47%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.1
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.