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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 25, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks
119
23Nuggets
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
28
30
22
9
3
2
2
1
2
4
5
6-7
86%
8-14
5-10
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
27
29
9
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
27
34
18
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
6-10
67%
55%
2-3
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
26
24
12
3
10
3
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
25
28
9
7
2
2
1
1
3
1
6
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
23
25
6
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
20
16
10
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
19
22
15
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
6-7
86%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.5
17
19
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
17
13
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.8
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
32
34
15
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
9-10
90%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
31
29
15
0
1
4
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
3-5
60%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
30
31
10
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
3-10
4-10
30%
40%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
18
23
15
10
3
2
1
1
0
3
7
5-6
83%
5-6
3-7
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
17
16
4
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
34
23
21
8
2
2
1
0
0
1
7
8-9
89%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
19
28
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
18
15
0
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.1
15
8
11
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
15
18
8
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
7
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
4
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
5
0
1-2
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.