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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 25, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons43%10095
14Jazz57%10292
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
38
35
12
7
3
1
1
0
4
1
6
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
35
33
2
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
48%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.8
31
29
29
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
9-15
5-10
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
29
26
7
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-10
10%
3-9
5-10
33%
53%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
23
30
16
8
0
0
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
25
16
12
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
4-5
80%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
23
21
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.1
19
20
8
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.3
17
17
1
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-3
33%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
4
0
0-1
44%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.9
3
0
0-0
41%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
1
0
0-0
43%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
1
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.8
37
34
22
5
5
0
1
1
3
0
5
7-7
100%
6-16
5-10
38%
48%
1-7
14%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.6
36
31
17
17
1
1
1
1
1
6
11
3-4
75%
7-10
4-6
70%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.3
34
30
23
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
6-9
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
16
25
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.7
6
22
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
28
12
5
9
3
1
0
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.2
22
24
0
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.5
20
9
14
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
4-5
80%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.7
17
18
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
14
21
4
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.9
10
14
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
53%
JJ O'Brien
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
2
0
0-0
45%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.