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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 25, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs33%10290
1Warriors67%108120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
25
24
5
3
1
0
0
2
3
1
2
1-2
50%
2-8
5-11
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
25
27
16
5
2
2
2
0
3
0
5
7-7
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
22
20
3
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
19
19
12
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
18
24
5
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
25
19
6
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
19
15
8
4
3
1
1
1
2
0
4
6-10
60%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
18
19
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
16
18
3
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
16
16
7
4
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-9
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
13
12
12
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
2
4-6
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
13
10
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
9
14
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
28
34
37
2
3
5
2
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
6-9
67%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
27
32
11
9
6
3
1
1
4
2
7
5-5
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
25
32
11
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
21
31
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.2
17
20
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
23
25
5
5
5
1
1
0
2
1
4
1-4
25%
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.2
20
15
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
19
7
12
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
4
2-3
67%
2-9
1-3
22%
44%
2-2
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.4
17
16
13
2
2
2
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-6
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
17
9
13
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
10
13
4
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
7
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
7
3
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.0
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.