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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 26, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat
102
28Nets
98
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
32
29
27
4
8
3
1
2
3
1
3
5-5
100%
11-22
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
32
34
27
5
4
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
11-14
6-11
79%
52%
1-4
25%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
31
32
10
2
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
30
14
9
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
22
19
4
7
1
2
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
53%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
37
32
13
7
2
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
22
7
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
18
29
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
16
23
6
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
16
1
1-2
44%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
15
0
2-4
53%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.1
2
0
0-1
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
37
31
15
4
8
0
1
0
5
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
32
31
12
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
6-11
6-12
55%
51%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
31
29
13
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
5-9
7-14
56%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
30
26
8
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
23
25
10
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
25
19
7
3
6
2
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
24
11
20
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
9-12
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
23
25
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
3-6
50%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.3
6
6
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.9
5
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
3
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
8
0
1-1
41%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.1
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.