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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder67%111126
26Timberwolves33%105123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
36.9
36.9
27
58%
9
5
0
1
1
1
0
9
6-7
86%
9-17
7-13
53%
55%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
36.7
36.2
24
75%
8
15
0
2
0
4
2
6
7-7
100%
4-9
8-15
44%
49%
3-4
75%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
34.7
32.6
16
57%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
4-7
57%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
25.5
36.5
6
38%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
53%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
20.1
21.7
8
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
57%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.7
23.0
21.3
23
66%
10
0
0
0
2
2
7
3
3-3
100%
10-15
4-8
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
22.6
15.8
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.3
16.0
7.5
8
103%
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
13.3
6.1
10
83%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
2-4
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.2
6.2
3.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.5
5.2
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
2.1
0
0-1
53%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 20.9
37.3
34.7
20
60%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
8-13
6-13
62%
48%
0-1
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.2
33.8
29.3
19
58%
13
5
0
1
3
2
2
11
3-3
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
30.1
29.1
4
27%
2
10
3
2
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.0
27.0
21.2
21
73%
9
1
1
1
1
1
6
3
1-3
33%
10-13
3-5
77%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.9
22.4
23.0
2
33%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
29.4
23.0
35
91%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-5
40%
9-9
3-7
100%
46%
5-8
63%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.2
24.9
27.8
10
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.7
23.1
17.4
11
76%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.1
12.0
13.0
1
9%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-5
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.0
9.4
0
1-3
43%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.7
5.6
0
1-1
43%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.6
3.1
0
0-0
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.9
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.7
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.