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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets26%9999
2Spurs74%108130
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
28
36
20
3
2
0
1
1
5
1
2
9-9
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
27
37
8
1
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.5
26
24
9
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.1
23
10
13
8
1
0
0
2
2
2
6
7-8
88%
3-5
2-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.9
14
26
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.2
26
21
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 30.1
25
20
11
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-4
50%
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
1-6
17%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
21
14
2
5
3
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.4
20
13
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
47%
3-7
43%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.0
17
18
11
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
14
20
5
5
0
0
1
3
2
3
2
3-10
30%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.4
5
0
1-1
49%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
0
0
0-0
44%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
30
24
25
10
5
0
0
0
2
6
4
7-7
100%
9-13
5-11
69%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
28
21
18
6
3
3
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
6-8
75%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
28
26
18
1
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
3-4
75%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
23
21
15
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
16
16
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
19
17
6
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
19
18
0
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-2
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
17
12
13
10
0
0
0
0
0
3
7
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
59%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
15
17
9
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
50%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
15
19
4
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
12
21
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
10
12
8
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
10
11
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.