Final Win Prob. pScore
2038%99
73
1162%103
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
80.29197.6
UTA logo Jazz
112.19185.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA73
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAHarrison Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T20)73
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAWithey 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)73
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHAKaminsky 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)73
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0UTAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0UTAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHAHarrison P.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Ervin)71
98
Q4 - 0:57.0CHAKaminsky Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)71
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:19UTAGreen 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 1:30CHAHansbrough P.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Brown)71
96
Q4 - 1:42CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42UTAGreen S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Ervin)70
96
Q4 - 1:42CHARoberts 13' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)70
96
Q4 - 1:50UTAGreen 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00CHARoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14UTAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Green 1 AST)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33CHAMISS Harrison 2' Driving Layup65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40UTAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53CHAKaminsky 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)65
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12UTAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12UTASUB: Pleiss FOR Lyles63
90
Q4 - 3:12UTAJAZZ Rebound63
90
Q4 - 3:12UTAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 263
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12CHADaniels S.FOUL (P3.T3) (M.Ervin)63
90
Q4 - 3:28CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28UTAWithey S.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Callahan)61
90
Q4 - 3:47UTASUB: Ingles FOR Burke61
90
Q4 - 3:47UTASUB: Green FOR Favors61
90
Q4 - 3:47UTASUB: Withey FOR Hayward61
90
Q4 - 3:47CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)61
90
Q4 - 3:47UTAHayward Running Dunk (22 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)61
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CHAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)61
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05UTAHayward 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Favors 2 AST)61
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29CHAMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29CHADaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29UTA60
85
Q4 - 4:29UTAHayward S.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Ervin)60
85
Q4 - 4:39UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39UTASUB: Burke FOR Hood60
84
Q4 - 4:39CHASUB: Harrison FOR Batum60
84
Q4 - 4:39CHAKaminsky S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Callahan)60
84
Q4 - 4:39UTAHayward 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)60
84
Q4 - 4:46CHAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)60
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07UTAHayward Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)60
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20CHADaniels P.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Ervin)60
82
Q4 - 5:42CHADaniels Backcourt Turnover (P3.T16)60
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58UTAFavors 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Hood 4 AST)60
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15CHAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)60
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 6:35UTAJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS)60
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 6:39UTAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56UTASUB: Favors FOR Neto60
78
Q4 - 6:56UTASUB: Johnson FOR Gobert60
78
Q4 - 6:56UTASUB: Hayward FOR Ingles60
78
Q4 - 6:56UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)60
78
Q4 - 6:56CHARoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)60
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 7:08CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09UTAMISS Lyles 3' Jump Shot57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:29CHAMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38UTAMISS Neto 10' Fadeaway Jumper57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00CHAMISS Kaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 8:09CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:09UTAMISS Hood 9' Pullup Jump Shot57
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:24CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:24UTASUB: Neto FOR Burke56
78
Q4 - 8:24UTASUB: Lyles FOR Favors56
78
Q4 - 8:24CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 8:24UTABurke S.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Ervin)55
78
Q4 - 8:35UTAHood 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (24 PTS)55
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48CHADaniels 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)55
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 9:05CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:22CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:22UTABurke S.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Callahan)51
76
Q4 - 9:28UTAGobert Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:40UTABurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:40CHAMISS Daniels 7' Floating Jump Shot51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:55CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:56UTAMISS Favors 2' Jump Bank Shot51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 9:59UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 10:00UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 10:12UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 10:12CHAMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 10:29UTABurke 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Ingles 2 AST)51
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q4 - 10:46UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 10:47CHAMISS Roberts 22' Pullup Jump Shot51
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 11:03CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)51
74
Q4 - 11:04UTAHood 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)51
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 11:17UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 11:17CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 11:37UTAFavors 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q4 - 12:0051
70
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound51
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Burke 13' Jump Shot51
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)51
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0UTAFavors 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)51
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0UTAFavors S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Ervin)49
68
Q3 - 0:56.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0UTAMISS Favors 5' Hook Shot49
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 1:15CHAHairston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 1:15CHASUB: Hansbrough FOR Hawes48
68
Q3 - 1:15UTASUB: Ingles FOR Hayward48
68
Q3 - 1:15CHAHairston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 1:15UTAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Ervin)47
68
Q3 - 1:25CHADaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 1:25UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 1:42UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 1:42CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 2:00CHASUB: Daniels FOR Lin47
68
Q3 - 2:00CHAHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)47
68
Q3 - 2:03UTAFavors 2' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)47
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 2:13UTABooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 2:13CHAMISS Lin 6' Jump Shot47
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 2:33UTABurke 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Booker 2 AST)47
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 2:49CHAWalker 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 3:04UTAHayward 8' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 3:10CHAHayward STEAL (2 STL)45
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q3 - 3:20CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)45
61
Q3 - 3:20UTABurke 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)45
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 3:33UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 3:34CHAMISS Kaminsky 5' Hook Shot45
5.8%
58
94.2%
Q3 - 3:58UTABurke 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)45
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 4:08CHASUB: Lin FOR Batum45
55
Q3 - 4:08CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams45
55
Q3 - 4:08UTASUB: Johnson FOR Hood45
55
Q3 - 4:08UTASUB: Favors FOR Gobert45
55
Q3 - 4:08CHABatum P.FOUL (P2.T4) (M.Ervin)45
55
Q3 - 4:24CHAHawes 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)45
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q3 - 4:35CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 4:36CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot42
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q3 - 4:59UTABooker 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)42
7.1%
55
92.9%
Q3 - 5:17UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)42
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 5:18CHAMISS Batum 15' Pullup Jump Shot42
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 5:24CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 5:24UTAMISS Hood 3' Layup42
9.7%
53
90.3%
Q3 - 5:38UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)42
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 5:39CHAMISS Batum 10' Fadeaway Jumper42
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 5:47UTASUB: Burke FOR Neto42
53
Q3 - 5:47UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)42
53
Q3 - 5:47CHAHornets Rebound42
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 5:47CHAGobert BLOCK (3 BLK)42
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 6:05CHAHornets Rebound42
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 6:06UTAMISS Neto 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 6:25UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 6:26CHAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot42
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 6:43UTAHood 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)42
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q3 - 7:07UTABooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 7:08CHAMISS Hawes Free Throw 2 of 242
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 7:08CHAHawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q3 - 7:08UTAGobert S.FOUL (P3.T4) (M.Callahan)41
50
Q3 - 7:31UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 7:31UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)41
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q3 - 7:31CHAHawes S.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Callahan)41
48
Q3 - 7:36UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 7:37CHABooker BLOCK (3 BLK)41
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q3 - 7:43CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q3 - 7:43UTAMISS Neto 8' Fadeaway Jumper41
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q3 - 7:54UTABooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q3 - 7:54CHAMISS Batum 3PT Jump Shot41
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q3 - 7:57UTASUB: Booker FOR Lyles41
48
Q3 - 8:02CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)41
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q3 - 8:03UTAMISS Lyles 18' Jump Shot41
18.2%
48
81.8%
Q3 - 8:13UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q3 - 8:14CHAMISS Williams 9' Floating Jump Shot41
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q3 - 8:21UTALyles P.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Callahan)41
48
Q3 - 8:28UTAHood Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q3 - 8:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q3 - 8:40CHAMISS Hairston 3PT Jump Shot41
17.2%
48
82.8%
Q3 - 8:50UTANeto P.FOUL (P3.T2) (M.Ervin)41
48
Q3 - 8:55CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q3 - 8:56UTAMISS Gobert 11' Jump Shot41
18.1%
48
81.9%
Q3 - 9:11CHAHawes 10' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)41
16.9%
48
83.1%
Q3 - 9:25CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q3 - 9:26UTAMISS Hayward 14' Jump Shot39
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q3 - 9:32UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q3 - 9:33CHAGobert BLOCK (2 BLK)39
13.7%
48
86.3%
Q3 - 9:46UTAHayward 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)39
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q3 - 9:55CHABatum P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brown)39
46
Q3 - 10:06CHABatum 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)39
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q3 - 10:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q3 - 10:25UTAMISS Gobert Free Throw 2 of 236
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q3 - 10:25UTAGobert Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 10:25CHAHairston S.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Ervin)36
45
Q3 - 10:44CHAWilliams 11' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q3 - 11:03UTAHood 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)34
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q3 - 11:25CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q3 - 11:25UTAHayward S.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Brown)33
43
Q3 - 11:25CHAWilliams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
43
Q3 - 11:35CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q3 - 11:36UTAMISS Neto 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q3 - 11:44CHAHood STEAL (1 STL)31
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q3 - 12:0031
43
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA31
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound31
9.7%
43
90.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Hood 50' 3PT Jump Shot31
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0UTANeto P.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brown)31
43
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0UTAMISS Hayward 4' Turnaround Jump Shot31
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
10.5%
43
89.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0UTAJump Ball Hayward vs. Lin: Tip to Gobert31
43
Q2 - 0:58.0UTAMISS Hayward 3PT Jump Shot31
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 1:19CHAWalker 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 1:43UTAHood 12' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)29
9.4%
43
90.6%
Q2 - 1:59CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)29
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 2:21UTAHayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gobert 1 AST)27
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 2:31UTASUB: Booker FOR Favors27
38
Q2 - 2:31UTASUB: Gobert FOR Lyles27
38
Q2 - 2:34UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)27
38
Q2 - 2:45CHAHawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 2:58CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 2:58UTAMISS Hood 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 3:13CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 3:13CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 3:13UTALyles IN.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Ervin)22
38
Q2 - 3:13CHAHornets Rebound22
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 3:15CHAMISS Lin 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 3:22UTASUB: Hood FOR Ingles22
38
Q2 - 3:22UTASUB: Lyles FOR Booker22
38
Q2 - 3:22CHAHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)22
38
Q2 - 3:30UTABooker Dunk (6 PTS) (Ingles 1 AST)22
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 3:39UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 3:39CHAMISS Hawes 2' Layup22
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 3:49UTANeto Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)22
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 4:00CHASUB: Hairston FOR Daniels22
36
Q2 - 4:00UTASUB: Neto FOR Burke22
36
Q2 - 4:00CHAHawes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)22
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 4:14UTABooker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 4:14UTABooker 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)22
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 4:15UTAMISS Burke 9' Floating Jump Shot22
13.0%
34
87.0%
Q2 - 4:33UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 4:33CHAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot22
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 4:54UTAHayward 13' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
13.4%
34
86.6%
Q2 - 5:16CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)22
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 5:27CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 5:28UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 222
16.4%
32
83.6%
Q2 - 5:28UTAJAZZ Rebound22
32
Q2 - 5:28UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 222
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 5:28CHALin S.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Ervin)22
32
Q2 - 5:40CHAHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)22
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 5:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 5:41CHABooker BLOCK (2 BLK)22
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 5:50CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 5:51CHABooker BLOCK (1 BLK)22
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 5:57UTASUB: Hayward FOR Hood22
32
Q2 - 5:59UTASUB: Favors FOR Gobert22
32
Q2 - 6:02CHASUB: Williams FOR Kaminsky22
32
Q2 - 6:05CHASUB: Walker FOR Batum22
32
Q2 - 6:05CHASUB: Hawes FOR Hansbrough22
32
Q2 - 6:05UTAGobert L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (M.Callahan)22
32
Q2 - 6:05UTAGobert Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)22
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 6:22UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 6:22CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 6:38UTAGobert 2' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Hood 3 AST)22
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 6:58CHADaniels 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)22
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 7:08CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)20
30
Q2 - 7:17UTAHood 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Booker 1 AST)20
17.5%
30
82.5%
Q2 - 7:30UTABooker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 7:30UTAMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q2 - 7:36CHAIngles STEAL (1 STL)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 7:52UTAIngles 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hood 2 AST)20
22.5%
27
77.5%
Q2 - 8:08UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q2 - 8:09CHAMISS Daniels 14' Floating Jump Shot20
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 8:19UTABurke Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)20
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 8:30CHADaniels Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)20
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q2 - 8:48UTAGobert Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Hood 1 AST)20
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 8:5920
22
Q2 - 8:59CHAHansbrough Personal Block Foul (P1.T2) (M.Callahan)20
22
Q2 - 9:06CHABooker STEAL (2 STL)20
30.3%
22
69.7%
Q2 - 9:25UTABooker Running Dunk (2 PTS)20
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 9:29CHABooker STEAL (1 STL)20
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 9:42CHAHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q2 - 9:43UTAMISS Ingles 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 9:49UTASUB: Burke FOR Johnson20
20
Q2 - 9:56UTAIngles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q2 - 9:57UTAMISS Booker Dunk20
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 10:06UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 10:07CHAGobert BLOCK (1 BLK)20
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 10:21CHAHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q2 - 10:21UTAMISS Hood 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 10:40UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 10:40CHAMISS Kaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q2 - 10:51CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q2 - 10:52UTAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q2 - 11:09UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q2 - 11:09CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q2 - 11:14CHAHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 11:15CHAMISS Lin 3PT Jump Shot20
35.3%
20
64.7%
Q2 - 11:28UTAHood Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q2 - 11:28UTAHood Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q2 - 11:28CHADaniels S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Ervin)20
18
Q2 - 11:46CHALin 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)20
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q2 - 12:0018
18
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA18
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0CHALin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0UTAMISS Burke 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAJAZZ Rebound18
34.8%
18
65.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 118
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0UTABurke S.FOUL (P1.T3) (M.Ervin)18
18
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 0:35.0UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0UTASUB: Booker FOR Favors16
18
Q1 - 0:45.0CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
30.7%
18
69.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0UTAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 1:09UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
34.8%
16
65.2%
Q1 - 1:10CHAMISS Lin 2' Driving Layup16
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 1:26UTAFavors 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)16
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 1:43CHALin 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)16
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 2:09UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
36.6%
14
63.4%
Q1 - 2:25CHASUB: Hansbrough FOR Hawes14
11
Q1 - 2:25UTAJAZZ Rebound14
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 2:25CHAMISS Hawes 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 2:39CHAHornets Rebound14
43.2%
11
56.8%
Q1 - 2:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 2:39UTAMISS Gobert 1' Tip Layup Shot14
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 2:39UTAMISS Gobert 2' Layup14
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 2:54CHAHairston P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brown)14
11
Q1 - 3:08CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lin 1 AST)14
40.6%
11
59.4%
Q1 - 3:16UTASUB: Burke FOR Neto11
11
Q1 - 3:16UTASUB: Gobert FOR Lyles11
11
Q1 - 3:16CHASUB: Lin FOR Batum11
11
Q1 - 3:16CHASUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams11
11
Q1 - 3:16CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
11
Q1 - 3:25UTAFavors Dunk (2 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)11
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 3:41CHABatum 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (3 PTS)11
38.5%
9
61.5%
Q1 - 3:51CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 3:51UTAMISS Lyles 3PT Jump Shot9
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 4:11CHAWilliams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hawes 2 AST)9
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 4:27CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 4:28UTAMISS Favors 17' Jump Shot7
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 4:39UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 4:39CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot7
31.6%
9
68.4%
Q1 - 4:48CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
33.1%
9
66.9%
Q1 - 4:48UTAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot7
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 5:00CHAWalker 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
31.1%
9
68.9%
Q1 - 5:11CHAHornets Rebound5
29.8%
9
70.2%
Q1 - 5:11UTAMISS Hayward 18' Jump Shot5
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 5:28UTAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 5:28CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 2 of 25
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 5:28UTASUB: Johnson FOR Hood5
9
Q1 - 5:28CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
29.6%
9
70.4%
Q1 - 5:28UTAHood S.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Ervin)4
9
Q1 - 5:32UTALyles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 5:43UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 5:44CHAMISS Batum 11' Pullup Jump Shot4
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 6:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.8%
9
71.2%
Q1 - 6:01UTAMISS Hood 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 6:08UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)4
9
Q1 - 6:19UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 6:19CHAMISS Hairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 6:31UTANeto P.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Ervin)4
9
Q1 - 6:39CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 6:39UTAMISS Neto 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 6:47CHAFavors STEAL (1 STL)4
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 6:55CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 6:55UTAMISS Hayward 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 7:13UTASUB: Favors FOR Gobert4
9
Q1 - 7:13CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 7:13CHAWilliams OFF.Foul (P1) (T.Brown)4
9
Q1 - 7:27CHAHornets Rebound4
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 7:27UTAMISS Hood 19' Jump Shot4
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 7:41CHAWalker 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
28.7%
9
71.3%
Q1 - 7:52CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
28.0%
9
72.0%
Q1 - 7:54CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 8:09UTAHayward 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 8:25UTAHood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 8:25CHAMISS Hawes 14' Jump Shot2
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 8:47UTAGobert Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 8:47UTAGobert OFF.Foul (P1) (T.Brown)2
7
Q1 - 9:03UTALyles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.5%
7
69.5%
Q1 - 9:03CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot2
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 9:20CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:21UTAMISS Neto 3PT Jump Shot2
31.7%
7
68.3%
Q1 - 9:29CHAHayward STEAL (1 STL)2
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 9:45UTAHood 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neto 2 AST)2
32.6%
7
67.4%
Q1 - 10:07CHAHairston 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)2
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 10:22UTAHood 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Neto 1 AST)0
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 10:39UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
36.1%
1
63.9%
Q1 - 10:40CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot0
36.3%
1
63.7%
Q1 - 10:53CHAHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.0%
1
63.0%
Q1 - 10:53UTAMISS Neto 2' Driving Layup0
36.8%
1
63.2%
Q1 - 11:09UTAGobert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.9%
1
63.1%
Q1 - 11:10CHAMISS Hairston 20' Jump Shot0
37.0%
1
63.0%
Q1 - 11:23UTAGobert Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
37.5%
1
62.5%
Q1 - 11:23UTAJAZZ Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:23UTAMISS Gobert Free Throw 1 of 20
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:23CHAHawes S.FOUL (P1.T1) (M.Callahan)0
0
Q1 - 11:28UTANeto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:29CHAMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:44CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:45UTAMISS Lyles 3PT Jump Shot0
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Gobert vs. Hawes: Tip to Lyles0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHAUTA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.91 45.6%
UTA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
8
17
47%
UTA
16
25
64%
Midrange
CHA
11
26
42%
UTA
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
UTA
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
Free Throws
CHA
17
21
81%
UTA
10
15
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker1568%7.5 / 11
B. Roberts13108%6.5 / 6
S. Hawes956%4.5 / 8
M. Williams941%4.5 / 11
F. Kaminsky850%4.0 / 8
N. Batum630%3.0 / 10
T. Daniels531%2.5 / 8
P. Hairston433%2.0 / 6
J. Lin425%2.0 / 8
A. Harrison0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hood2467%12.0 / 18
G. Hayward2279%11.0 / 14
D. Favors1260%6.0 / 10
T. Burke1155%5.5 / 10
C. Johnson1063%5.0 / 8
T. Booker880%4.0 / 5
R. Gobert643%3.0 / 7
E. Green4100%2.0 / 2
J. Ingles375%1.5 / 2
J. Withey2100%1.0 / 1
R. Neto0-0.0 / 7
T. Lyles0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
73
+7
-18
80
UTA
81
+9
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.91 45.6%
UTA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
106.2
CHA 80.2
UTA 112.1 +31.9
Pace
95.4
90.8
CHA 97.6 +12.4
UTA 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.5
CHA 14.7 −2.2
UTA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
50.1%
CHA 41.2%
UTA 56.8% +15.6%
TO %
12.3%
15.4%
CHA 20.6%
UTA 10.2% −10.4%
ORB %
20.1%
25.9%
CHA 11.6%
UTA 18.9% +7.3%
FTrt
28.0
28.6
CHA 30.9 +12.4
UTA 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
52.6%
CHA 40.0%
UTA 57.5% +17.5%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
CHA 6.6%
UTA 11.0% +4.4%
BLK %
9.0%
9.0%
CHA 0.0%
UTA 14.0% +14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.4%
CHA 45.6%
UTA 56.0% +10.4%
Rim FG%
56.9%
57.1%
CHA 47.1%
UTA 64.0% +16.9%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.1%
CHA 42.3%
UTA 48.0% +5.7%
3P %
36.2%
35.5%
CHA 24.0%
UTA 38.7% +14.7%
FT %
79.0%
74.4%
CHA 81.0% +14.3%
UTA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
36.0%
CHA 25.0%
UTA 30.9% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
33.9%
34.3%
CHA 38.2%
UTA 30.9% −7.4%
3P Att. %
34.8%
29.7%
CHA 36.8%
UTA 38.3% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAUTA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points73102
Rebounds3545
Assists1023
Steals610
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)38 (2)
Field Goals25-6840-81
At-the-Rim FG8-1716-25
Midrange FG11-2612-25
2-Point FG19-4328-50
3-Point FG6-2512-31
Free Throws17-2110-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 230 · 27
30.0
6
30%
10
2
0
0
2
2
0
10
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
G · 6'1" 184 · 26
29.9
15
68%
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
3
0-1
0%
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 230 · 23
28.0
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 245 · 28
26.3
9
56%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 237 · 30
22.6
9
41%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23
25.4
8
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 205 · 25
22.0
5
31%
1
0
0
0
5
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
· 6'9" 250 · 30
21.7
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
17.4
4
25%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 173 · 30
12.0
13
108%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 210 · 21
4.7
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
#25 · C · 6'10" 280 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
46%
35
10
6
0
18
0
5
30
17-21
81%
19-43
44%
6-25
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.