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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 28, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks
92
12Pacers
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
34
33
14
4
4
1
1
3
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
53%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
31
28
20
1
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
30
28
11
9
0
1
1
0
2
0
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
30
29
6
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-7
14%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
13
31
4
5
0
1
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
27
24
13
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
4-5
80%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
20
15
8
4
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.5
17
17
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
1-6
17%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
17
12
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
14
20
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
37
30
18
8
3
0
1
0
3
0
8
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
3-4
75%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.3
35
33
25
5
6
5
2
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
49%
5-7
71%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
31
35
11
3
3
1
2
0
2
1
2
7-7
100%
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.2
30
18
8
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
6-6
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
57%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 19.8
26
22
20
6
1
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-3
67%
9-17
5-9
53%
53%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 28.9
23
19
9
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
20
25
4
12
0
1
0
2
1
5
7
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.5
18
18
8
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
10
13
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
8
14
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.8
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 27.7
1
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.8
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.