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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 28, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets33%102117
17Wizards67%108113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
35
32
26
5
6
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-8
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
4-5
80%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
31
28
20
4
4
2
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
6-12
4-9
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
29
31
5
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
27
22
7
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-3
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
25
20
15
10
3
1
1
1
0
5
5
1-3
33%
7-11
3-6
64%
52%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
26
27
15
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
5-5
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
21
19
13
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
17
14
6
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
16
9
8
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
13
18
2
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.1
13
0
1-1
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
4
0
1-1
49%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
41
34
17
7
9
4
2
2
3
2
5
5-6
83%
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
2-7
29%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
38
29
20
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
5-10
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
29
24
15
7
0
0
1
2
0
4
3
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
29
31
12
10
1
0
1
2
2
4
6
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
15
28
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
26
26
12
4
4
4
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
26
17
17
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-3
67%
6-12
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
16
19
11
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
12
11
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
7
9
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
17
0
2-5
47%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.8
4
0
1-1
52%
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
4
0
0-0
47%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.