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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 28, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks33%9683
9Grizzlies67%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.1
35.5
34.1
7
30%
7
3
0
1
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
2-10
5-10
20%
52%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.5
31.7
35.6
15
40%
5
6
3
1
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
29.3
33.0
7
52%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
3-4
75%
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.3
27.3
33.4
10
63%
6
1
0
2
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
4-10
80%
45%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.7
25.2
29.2
21
67%
7
2
0
1
0
5
2
5
5-6
83%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.4
20.8
10.3
2
14%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
0-5
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
19.7
24.8
9
73%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.7
19.6
12.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.4
19.1
2.0
6
60%
5
1
2
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.9
6.5
1.1
2
26%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-3
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.4
5.5
2.1
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.1
16.8
0
3-5
55%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
6.5
0
1-1
45%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.0
28.1
35.1
15
63%
8
4
4
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
7-11
7-15
64%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.0
28.0
23.6
13
63%
7
0
0
2
1
0
2
5
3-3
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
24.3
28.7
13
62%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
23.8
28.5
5
27%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-5
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
20.1
27.0
8
45%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
31.8
25.8
21
70%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
27.4
19.6
7
61%
4
10
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.9
24.5
24.8
13
73%
4
2
1
1
2
3
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
55%
4-8
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
17.8
10.8
5
51%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
61%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.0
8.8
8.6
3
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.6
5.5
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
4.6
0
1-1
62%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.6
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.