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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 29, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers59%107114
14Pistons41%103106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
37
30
29
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
6-6
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
5-7
71%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.1
36
34
20
9
8
1
1
0
1
1
8
6-7
86%
7-14
7-13
50%
54%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
33
28
6
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.9
32
25
28
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
11-16
4-9
69%
47%
0-3
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
31
27
11
14
0
0
0
1
1
3
11
5-5
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
21
22
5
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
19
17
12
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
53%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
15
24
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
12
12
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
8
0
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
6
0
1-2
45%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
35
36
19
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
4
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
35
30
20
8
0
1
1
3
0
1
7
2-8
25%
9-14
6-11
64%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.8
32
29
15
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
48%
0-3
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
30
34
14
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
27
24
11
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
30
25
15
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
21
19
8
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.3
16
17
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.1
11
16
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.9
3
0
0-0
44%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.