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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 29, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets25%9979
14Mavericks75%10891
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
41.0
31.0
11
37%
10
1
5
1
0
2
2
8
3-4
75%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
37.6
32.7
13
59%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
7-7
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-4
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.8
37.0
29.7
28
54%
12
3
2
1
2
2
4
8
8-11
73%
10-21
7-14
48%
50%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
35.7
24.3
13
57%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
31.4
27.1
12
55%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
19.4
24.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.3
17.3
20.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
11.3
16.3
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.9
4.5
5.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.3
3.7
6.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
1.0
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
10.0
0
1-3
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.1
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
34.4
32.1
2
25%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
33.5
33.4
19
63%
10
3
0
1
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
3-7
43%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.0
32.1
26.2
16
63%
12
3
0
1
0
3
4
8
4-6
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
31.7
29.7
8
28%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
47%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
28.9
20.3
12
46%
8
0
2
0
4
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.6
25.0
27.5
9
57%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.6
24.9
22.4
13
60%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
3-3
100%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
11.4
8.8
2
100%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
9.4
16.3
7
74%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
7.4
10.8
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
1.2
15.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
6.8
0
1-2
56%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.3
5.5
0
1-1
58%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.