Final Win Prob. pScore
2352%100
107
2448%99
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
109.29896.9
MIL logo Bucks
106.297100.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
103
Q4 - 0:03.0MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P6.T21)107
103
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)107
103
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)106
103
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)105
103
Q4 - 0:03.0MILMiddleton Personal Take Foul (P2.PN) (K.Cutler)105
103
Q4 - 0:04.0MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (28 PTS)105
103
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
101
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound104
101
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2104
101
Q4 - 0:14.0MILCarter-Williams Personal Take Foul (P5.PN) (K.Cutler)104
101
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
101
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Middleton 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MILSUB: Bayless FOR Parker104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MILAntetokounmpo Personal Take Foul (P4.PN) (P.Fraher)103
101
Q4 - 0:28.0MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T20)103
101
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)103
101
Q4 - 0:59.0MILAntetokounmpo Driving Dunk (26 PTS)101
101
Q4 - 1:04MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)101
99
Q4 - 1:13MIAMiddleton STEAL (2 STL)101
99
Q4 - 1:36MILCarter-Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)101
99
Q4 - 1:36MILBUCKS Rebound101
98
Q4 - 1:36MILMISS Carter-Williams Free Throw 1 of 2101
98
Q4 - 1:36MIADragic Shooting Block Foul (P4.PN) (T.Brothers)101
98
Q4 - 1:41MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)101
98
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Bosh 28' 3PT Jump Shot101
98
Q4 - 2:00MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)101
98
Q4 - 2:26MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)101
98
Q4 - 2:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
98
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
98
Q4 - 3:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)98
98
Q4 - 3:01MILMonroe 4' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 6 AST)98
98
Q4 - 3:11MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
96
Q4 - 3:12MIAParker BLOCK (1 BLK)98
96
Q4 - 3:37MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
96
Q4 - 3:37MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)98
95
Q4 - 3:37MIADeng P.FOUL (P5.PN) (P.Fraher)98
94
Q4 - 3:58MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
94
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
94
Q4 - 4:19MILBUCKS Rebound98
94
Q4 - 4:19MILMISS Carter-Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot98
94
Q4 - 4:19MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
94
Q4 - 4:19MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
93
Q4 - 4:19MIADeng L.B.FOUL (P4.PN) (P.Fraher)98
92
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
92
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
92
Q4 - 4:28MILMiddleton S.FOUL (P1.PN) (P.Fraher)96
92
Q4 - 4:36MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)96
92
Q4 - 4:46MIASUB: Bosh FOR Stoudemire96
92
Q4 - 4:46MIASUB: Dragic FOR Udrih96
92
Q4 - 4:46MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T4) (P.Fraher)96
92
Q4 - 4:57MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
92
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Udrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot96
92
Q4 - 5:04MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
92
Q4 - 5:06MILMISS Monroe Hook Shot96
92
Q4 - 5:24MIAStoudemire L.B.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Brothers)96
92
Q4 - 5:24MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)96
92
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot96
92
Q4 - 5:43MILParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)96
92
Q4 - 5:43MILJump Ball Parker vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Wade96
92
Q4 - 5:44MILSUB: Carter-Williams FOR Bayless96
92
Q4 - 5:44MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)96
92
Q4 - 5:44MILParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)96
92
Q4 - 5:44MILMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot96
92
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
92
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
92
Q4 - 6:05MILBayless S.FOUL (P2.T4) (P.Fraher)94
92
Q4 - 6:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
92
Q4 - 6:08MILMISS Middleton Layup94
92
Q4 - 6:18MIABayless STEAL (1 STL)94
92
Q4 - 6:39MILMiddleton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)94
92
Q4 - 6:57MIAStoudemire Putback Layup (12 PTS)94
90
Q4 - 6:59MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
90
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot92
90
Q4 - 7:19MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
90
Q4 - 7:21MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 292
90
Q4 - 7:21MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
90
Q4 - 7:21MIADeng S.FOUL (P3.T2) (P.Fraher)92
89
Q4 - 7:24MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
89
Q4 - 7:26MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup92
89
Q4 - 7:44MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T16)92
89
Q4 - 7:57MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
89
Q4 - 7:57MILSUB: Middleton FOR Vaughn92
88
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Deng FOR Green92
88
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR McRoberts92
88
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic92
88
Q4 - 7:57MIASUB: Udrih FOR Bosh92
88
Q4 - 7:57MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
88
Q4 - 7:57MIAMcRoberts S.FOUL (P3.T1) (P.Fraher)92
87
Q4 - 8:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)92
87
Q4 - 8:03MILMonroe S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brothers)91
87
Q4 - 8:03MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)91
87
Q4 - 8:17MILMonroe 3' Driving Hook Shot (18 PTS)89
87
Q4 - 8:32MILSUB: Monroe FOR Plumlee89
85
Q4 - 8:3289
85
Q4 - 8:32MILBUCKS Rebound89
85
Q4 - 8:33MILMISS Bayless 3' Floating Jump Shot89
85
Q4 - 8:41MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)89
85
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Dragic 11' Step Back Jump Shot89
85
Q4 - 8:52MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
85
Q4 - 8:53MILMISS Parker 15' Step Back Jump Shot89
85
Q4 - 9:13MIAHeat Rebound89
85
Q4 - 9:13MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
85
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 288
85
Q4 - 9:13MILVaughn S.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Cutler)88
85
Q4 - 9:18MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
85
Q4 - 9:19MILMISS Antetokounmpo 2' Running Layup88
85
Q4 - 9:47MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)88
85
Q4 - 10:03MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
85
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Bayless 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 10:07MILParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
85
Q4 - 10:08MILMISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 10:38MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
85
Q4 - 10:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
85
Q4 - 10:51MILMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
85
Q4 - 11:16MILBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
85
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot83
85
Q4 - 11:38MILPlumlee Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 5 AST)83
85
Q4 - 11:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
83
Q4 - 11:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
83
Q4 - 11:49MILAntetokounmpo S.FOUL (P3.T1) (P.Fraher)81
83
Q4 - 12:0081
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL81
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAUdrih 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)81
83
Q3 - 0:05.0MILVaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)79
83
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAPlumlee STEAL (1 STL)79
80
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
80
Q3 - 0:13.0MILMISS Middleton 20' Jump Shot79
80
Q3 - 0:38.0MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
80
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Jump Shot79
80
Q3 - 1:03MILVaughn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 4 AST)79
80
Q3 - 1:10MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (3 STL)79
77
Q3 - 1:22MILPlumlee 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)79
77
Q3 - 1:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
75
Q3 - 1:33MIAHeat Rebound78
75
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 278
75
Q3 - 1:33MILAntetokounmpo Personal Block Foul (P2.PN) (K.Cutler)78
75
Q3 - 1:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
75
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
75
Q3 - 1:47MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
75
Q3 - 1:49MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK)78
75
Q3 - 1:57MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
75
Q3 - 2:02MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
75
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS McRoberts 2' Driving Layup78
75
Q3 - 2:20MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)78
75
Q3 - 2:20MILSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker78
74
Q3 - 2:20MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
74
Q3 - 2:20MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.PN) (P.Fraher)78
74
Q3 - 2:20MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (20 PTS)78
74
Q3 - 2:33MIAGreen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)78
72
Q3 - 3:02MILAntetokounmpo 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS)75
72
Q3 - 3:19MIAGreen 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)75
70
Q3 - 3:37MIASUB: Bosh FOR Deng73
70
Q3 - 3:37MIAHeat Rebound73
70
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot73
70
Q3 - 3:55MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
70
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
70
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
70
Q3 - 4:05MIASUB: Winslow FOR Wade72
70
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
70
Q3 - 4:05MILParker S.FOUL (P2.PN) (P.Fraher)71
70
Q3 - 4:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
70
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper71
70
Q3 - 4:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
70
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Udrih 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
70
Q3 - 4:43MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
70
Q3 - 4:43MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic71
69
Q3 - 4:43MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Stoudemire71
69
Q3 - 4:43MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
69
Q3 - 4:43MIADeng S.FOUL (P2.PN) (P.Fraher)71
68
Q3 - 4:49MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
68
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Deng 16' Turnaround Jump Shot71
68
Q3 - 5:10MILAntetokounmpo 1' Layup (16 PTS)71
68
Q3 - 5:30MIAWade 20' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 5:47MILAntetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)69
66
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
64
Q3 - 6:02MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
64
Q3 - 6:02MILParker S.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Brothers)67
64
Q3 - 6:19MILAntetokounmpo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)67
64
Q3 - 6:32MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)67
62
Q3 - 6:32MILJump Ball Parker vs. Wade: Tip to Middleton67
62
Q3 - 6:33MILSUB: Plumlee FOR Monroe67
62
Q3 - 6:33MIASUB: Green FOR Bosh67
62
Q3 - 6:34MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
62
Q3 - 6:38MILMISS Middleton 11' Jump Shot67
62
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)67
62
Q3 - 6:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
62
Q3 - 6:58MILMISS Monroe 2' Layup65
62
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)65
62
Q3 - 7:18MILSUB: Bayless FOR Carter-Williams63
62
Q3 - 7:18MILCarter-Williams Personal Block Foul (P4.T3) (K.Cutler)63
62
Q3 - 7:33MILCarter-Williams 1' Running Layup (8 PTS)63
62
Q3 - 7:39MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
60
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot63
60
Q3 - 7:54MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
60
Q3 - 7:54MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
59
Q3 - 7:54MIADragic S.FOUL (P3.T4) (P.Fraher)63
58
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
58
Q3 - 8:18MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
58
Q3 - 8:18MILCarter-Williams S.FOUL (P3.T2) (K.Cutler)61
58
Q3 - 8:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)61
58
Q3 - 8:29MILCarter-Williams 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)61
58
Q3 - 8:34MIAMiddleton STEAL (1 STL)61
56
Q3 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
56
Q3 - 8:55MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
55
Q3 - 8:55MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T3) (T.Brothers)61
54
Q3 - 8:59MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
54
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup61
54
Q3 - 9:26MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
54
Q3 - 9:26MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
53
Q3 - 9:26MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Cutler)61
52
Q3 - 9:43MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)61
52
Q3 - 10:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
52
Q3 - 10:08MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup59
52
Q3 - 10:29MIAStoudemire Dunk (10 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)59
52
Q3 - 10:52MILParker Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Carter-Williams 6 AST)57
52
Q3 - 10:56MIACarter-Williams STEAL (2 STL)57
50
Q3 - 11:19MILCarter-Williams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)57
50
Q3 - 11:29MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Brothers)57
48
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
48
Q3 - 11:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
48
Q3 - 11:40MILCarter-Williams S.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Cutler)55
48
Q3 - 11:52MILParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)55
48
Q3 - 12:0055
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL55
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound55
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
48
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)55
48
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Rebound55
48
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Reverse Layup55
48
Q2 - 0:24.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Udrih55
48
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)55
48
Q2 - 0:30.0MILParker 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter-Williams 5 AST)55
48
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
46
Q2 - 0:54.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
46
Q2 - 0:55.0MILMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot53
46
Q2 - 1:09MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
46
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Bosh 15' Step Back Jump Shot53
46
Q2 - 1:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
46
Q2 - 1:22MILMISS Middleton 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot53
46
Q2 - 1:42MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
46
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot53
46
Q2 - 2:00MILMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
46
Q2 - 2:00MIASUB: Green FOR Winslow53
45
Q2 - 2:00MILMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
45
Q2 - 2:00MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P3.T3) (K.Cutler)53
44
Q2 - 2:16MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic53
44
Q2 - 2:16MILBUCKS Rebound53
44
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
44
Q2 - 2:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
44
Q2 - 2:33MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup53
44
Q2 - 2:34MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
44
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Monroe 3' Layup53
44
Q2 - 2:50MIASUB: Bosh FOR Stoudemire53
44
Q2 - 2:50MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
44
Q2 - 2:50MIAWinslow Backcourt Turnover (P1.T9)53
44
Q2 - 2:53MILMonroe 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Carter-Williams 4 AST)53
44
Q2 - 2:56MIACarter-Williams STEAL (1 STL)53
42
Q2 - 3:01MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)53
42
Q2 - 3:17MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
42
Q2 - 3:41MILParker Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T13)51
42
Q2 - 3:43MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
42
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 3:54MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
42
Q2 - 3:55MILMISS Antetokounmpo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
42
Q2 - 3:59MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
42
Q2 - 4:00MILMISS Middleton 7' Hook Shot51
42
Q2 - 4:19MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)51
42
Q2 - 4:21MILJump Ball Middleton vs. Wade: Tip to Dragic51
42
Q2 - 4:39MILParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
42
Q2 - 4:39MILParker 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)51
42
Q2 - 4:40MILMISS Middleton 13' Jump Shot51
40
Q2 - 4:52MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
40
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 251
40
Q2 - 4:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
40
Q2 - 4:53MILAntetokounmpo S.FOUL (P1.T4) (T.Brothers)50
40
Q2 - 5:02MILCarter-Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)50
40
Q2 - 5:15MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
40
Q2 - 5:27MILAntetokounmpo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)47
40
Q2 - 5:46MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
40
Q2 - 5:46MIAHeat Rebound46
40
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 246
40
Q2 - 5:46MILCarter-Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Cutler)46
40
Q2 - 6:02MIAHeat Rebound46
40
Q2 - 6:02MILMISS Parker 1' Driving Layup46
40
Q2 - 6:04MILBUCKS Rebound46
40
Q2 - 6:05MILMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 146
40
Q2 - 6:05MIAStoudemire S.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Cutler)46
40
Q2 - 6:05MILMonroe 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)46
40
Q2 - 6:09MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
38
Q2 - 6:12MIAMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)46
38
Q2 - 6:31MILSUB: Carter-Williams FOR Bayless46
38
Q2 - 6:31MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)46
38
Q2 - 6:33MILAntetokounmpo Running Reverse Dunk Shot (8 PTS)46
38
Q2 - 6:36MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (2 STL)46
36
Q2 - 6:48MILMiddleton 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
36
Q2 - 7:02MILSUB: Middleton FOR Vaughn46
34
Q2 - 7:02MIASUB: Deng FOR Green46
34
Q2 - 7:02MIASUB: Wade FOR Bosh46
34
Q2 - 7:02MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
34
Q2 - 7:02MIADragic OFF.Foul (P1) (P.Fraher)46
34
Q2 - 7:05MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
34
Q2 - 7:06MILMISS Antetokounmpo Finger Roll Layup46
34
Q2 - 7:28MIAWinslow 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)46
34
Q2 - 7:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
34
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
34
Q2 - 7:54MILParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
34
Q2 - 8:15MIABosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)44
32
Q2 - 8:30MILParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)41
32
Q2 - 8:35MILVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
32
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Layup41
32
Q2 - 8:38MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
32
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot41
32
Q2 - 8:57MILBUCKS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#9)41
32
Q2 - 8:57MILSUB: Parker FOR Ennis41
32
Q2 - 8:5741
32
Q2 - 9:23MIAStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)41
32
Q2 - 9:32MILMonroe P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brothers)39
32
Q2 - 9:53MILVaughn 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)39
32
Q2 - 9:57MILEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
30
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 10:11MILVaughn Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)39
30
Q2 - 10:27MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
30
Q2 - 10:27MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR McRoberts38
30
Q2 - 10:27MIASUB: Dragic FOR Udrih38
30
Q2 - 10:27MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
30
Q2 - 10:27MILEnnis S.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Cutler)37
30
Q2 - 10:50MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
30
Q2 - 10:50MILMonroe Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Antetokounmpo 5' Jump Shot37
28
Q2 - 11:08MIAGreen P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Cutler)37
28
Q2 - 11:13MIAGreen 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)37
28
Q2 - 11:17MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)35
28
Q2 - 11:34MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
28
Q2 - 11:34MIAGreen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup33
28
Q2 - 11:50MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
28
Q2 - 12:0033
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot33
28
Q1 - 0:04.0MILEnnis Personal Take Foul (P1.T2) (K.Cutler)33
28
Q1 - 0:05.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
28
Q1 - 0:05.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
27
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.PN) (T.Brothers)33
26
Q1 - 0:21.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Green 8' Pullup Jump Shot33
26
Q1 - 0:28.0MILEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
26
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAUdrih 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)33
26
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)30
26
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)30
25
Q1 - 0:55.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)30
24
Q1 - 0:55.0MIA30
23
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.PN) (P.Fraher)30
23
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAGreen Violation:Kicked Ball (T.Brothers)30
23
Q1 - 1:02MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P2.T3) (P.Fraher)30
23
Q1 - 1:02MIAAntetokounmpo STEAL (1 STL)30
23
Q1 - 1:20MILAntetokounmpo 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)30
23
Q1 - 1:25MILEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
21
Q1 - 1:28MIAAntetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK)30
21
Q1 - 1:32MILAntetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
21
Q1 - 1:47MIAMcRoberts 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)30
21
Q1 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound28
21
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot28
21
Q1 - 2:20MILAntetokounmpo 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)28
21
Q1 - 2:40MILSUB: Ennis FOR Plumlee28
19
Q1 - 2:40MILSUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Carter-Williams28
19
Q1 - 2:40MILSUB: Monroe FOR Parker28
19
Q1 - 2:40MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade28
19
Q1 - 2:40MIASUB: Green FOR Deng28
19
Q1 - 2:40MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
19
Q1 - 2:41MIADeng 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)28
19
Q1 - 2:47MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)26
19
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)26
19
Q1 - 3:03MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19
Q1 - 3:05MILMISS Carter-Williams Layup24
19
Q1 - 3:06MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
19
Q1 - 3:08MILMISS Carter-Williams 4' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 3:22MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
19
Q1 - 3:38MILPlumlee 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 3 AST)21
19
Q1 - 4:01MIAWinslow 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
17
Q1 - 4:08MILMiddleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
17
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 4:20MILBayless S.FOUL (P1.T1) (T.Brothers)18
17
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)18
17
Q1 - 4:27MILSUB: Bayless FOR Antetokounmpo16
17
Q1 - 4:27MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
17
Q1 - 4:35MILParker 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 4:38MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
15
Q1 - 4:40MIAPlumlee BLOCK (1 BLK)16
15
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
15
Q1 - 4:48MILMISS Carter-Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
15
Q1 - 5:05MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic16
15
Q1 - 5:05MIAMcRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
15
Q1 - 5:05MIAMcRoberts OFF.Foul (P1) (T.Brothers)16
15
Q1 - 5:18MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)16
15
Q1 - 5:18MILPlumlee Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)16
15
Q1 - 5:21MILMISS Middleton 4' Running Layup16
13
Q1 - 5:26MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
13
Q1 - 5:27MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
13
Q1 - 5:27MILMISS Plumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot16
13
Q1 - 5:28MILPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13
Q1 - 5:28MILMISS Plumlee 1' Tip Layup Shot16
13
Q1 - 5:30MILMISS Parker 1' Layup16
13
Q1 - 5:49MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Bosh16
13
Q1 - 5:49MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
13
Q1 - 5:49MIABosh Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)16
13
Q1 - 6:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 6:04MILMISS Carter-Williams 18' Jump Shot16
13
Q1 - 6:20MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup16
13
Q1 - 6:32MILSUB: Plumlee FOR Monroe16
13
Q1 - 6:32MIASUB: Winslow FOR Stoudemire16
13
Q1 - 6:41MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot16
13
Q1 - 6:57MIAStoudemire Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
13
Q1 - 7:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13
Q1 - 7:10MILMISS Middleton 15' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 7:24MIAWade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 7:43MILCarter-Williams 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 8:00MIAStoudemire 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
11
Q1 - 8:11MILParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brothers)10
10
Q1 - 8:11MILParker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)10
10
Q1 - 8:17MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.T1) (P.Fraher)10
8
Q1 - 8:30MIADragic 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
8
Q1 - 8:40MILMonroe 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter-Williams 2 AST)8
8
Q1 - 8:48MILCarter-Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Antetokounmpo 5' Turnaround Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 9:18MIADragic 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 9:38MILMonroe 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:41MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:43MILMISS Middleton 1' Driving Layup6
4
Q1 - 10:02MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 10:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:11MILMISS Monroe 1' Layup4
4
Q1 - 10:18MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)4
4
Q1 - 10:35MILParker Running Layup (2 PTS) (Carter-Williams 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 10:40MILMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:58MILAntetokounmpo Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 11:29MILAntetokounmpo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAStoudemire 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Monroe vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
MIL
26
48
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
27
48%
MIL
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
MIA
26
32
81%
MIL
25
28
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
C. Bosh2067%10.0 / 15
L. Deng1662%8.0 / 13
G. Dragic1267%6.0 / 9
A. Stoudemire1267%6.0 / 9
G. Green1045%5.0 / 11
J. Winslow650%3.0 / 6
B. Udrih563%2.5 / 4
J. McRoberts233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo2870%14.0 / 20
G. Monroe2463%12.0 / 19
J. Parker1761%8.5 / 14
K. Middleton930%4.5 / 15
M. Carter-Williams945%4.5 / 10
M. Plumlee867%4.0 / 6
R. Vaughn8100%4.0 / 4
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+11
-17
92
MIL
78
+17
-19
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.2%
MIL
1.07 53.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
104.5
MIA 109.2 +3.0
MIL 106.2
Pace
93.7
94.1
MIA 96.9
MIL 100.0 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 14.9
MIL 14.4 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
49.9%
MIA 54.7% +5.9%
MIL 48.8%
TO %
14.0%
15.4%
MIA 17.0% −1.5%
MIL 18.5%
ORB %
23.9%
25.0%
MIA 22.9%
MIL 33.3% +10.4%
FTrt
28.2
27.6
MIA 43.2 +8.2
MIL 35.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
60.3%
MIA 73.0% +25.6%
MIL 47.4%
STL %
7.2%
8.6%
MIA 12.2% +1.9%
MIL 10.3%
BLK %
10.3%
10.2%
MIA 13.2% +4.3%
MIL 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.3%
MIA 58.2% +4.6%
MIL 53.6%
Rim FG%
62.3%
57.9%
MIA 58.6% +4.4%
MIL 54.2%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.0%
MIA 48.1%
MIL 50.0% +1.9%
3P %
33.6%
34.5%
MIA 38.9% +22.2%
MIL 16.7%
FT %
74.4%
74.7%
MIA 81.3%
MIL 89.3% +8.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
45.2%
MIA 39.2%
MIL 60.0% +20.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
35.9%
MIA 36.5%
MIL 25.0% −11.5%
3P Att. %
22.1%
18.9%
MIA 24.3% +9.3%
MIL 15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.323.3
Points107103
Rebounds3440
Assists2718
Steals1210
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals37-7438-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2926-48
Midrange FG13-2710-20
2-Point FG30-5636-68
3-Point FG7-182-12
Free Throws26-3225-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
34.5
20
67%
6
5
1
1
2
2
1
5
8-9
89%
3-6
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
32.7
16
62%
7
0
1
1
1
5
2
5
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
32.2
24
63%
4
7
3
3
4
2
1
3
10-13
77%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
31.6
12
67%
1
8
1
0
4
4
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
23.6
12
67%
8
0
0
2
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
32.6
6
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
20.2
10
45%
2
1
3
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
16.4
5
63%
1
2
2
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
16.1
2
33%
1
2
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
58%
34
27
12
9
17
0
8
26
26-32
81%
30-56
54%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.