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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 29, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers11%9793
5Clippers89%113105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.6
35.6
29.0
17
49%
8
2
0
1
0
3
2
6
3-3
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
46%
0-3
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
35.0
31.9
11
53%
6
4
2
1
1
1
1
5
7-10
70%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.2
34.8
27.4
23
65%
14
1
1
1
0
6
4
10
4-4
100%
8-15
4-10
53%
42%
1-1
100%
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.3
34.2
26.4
5
43%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.1
28.5
19.9
12
44%
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
3
2-4
50%
5-12
2-5
42%
44%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 19.9
25.4
23.9
8
40%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
2-3
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
19.5
19.6
8
57%
6
0
1
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
13.8
20.8
5
51%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
13.2
18.2
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
8.8
0
1-2
40%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.2
6.0
0
0-1
41%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
5.1
0
0-1
41%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.6
3.5
0
0-1
41%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.4
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.5
32.2
34.0
6
63%
17
1
1
1
1
2
3
14
2-4
50%
2-3
5-7
67%
71%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
31.1
32.1
27
72%
1
7
2
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
25.5
23.6
9
41%
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
51%
0-4
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.6
21.8
28.0
7
31%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
1-6
17%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
17.9
23.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 35.9
28.5
23.8
15
51%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
26.2
20.1
17
59%
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-1
0%
7-10
2-5
70%
50%
1-4
25%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.4
22.5
3.7
16
102%
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
51%
2-2
100%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.7
16.9
12.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.2
13.3
11.7
6
82%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-6
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28.8
2.4
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
1.6
2.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.3
17.3
1
1-2
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.9
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.