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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 30, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs48%101103
3Cavaliers52%102117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
35
27
24
6
2
0
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
3-7
43%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
26
26
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
24
22
13
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
24
16
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
23
24
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
21
17
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
18
17
8
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
18
16
10
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
18
18
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
16
18
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
10
14
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
3
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.9
36
28
21
1
6
2
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
9-15
5-11
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
35
29
10
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.1
34
34
29
5
7
2
1
2
2
1
4
9-11
82%
10-15
7-13
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
31
32
21
11
3
0
1
1
1
3
8
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
26
29
10
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
2-4
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
28
21
2
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
24
22
15
5
3
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
39%
3-5
60%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
13
12
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
11
17
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
6
0
1-2
48%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
4
0
0-1
43%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
4
0
0-0
36%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.