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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2016
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks56%10287
21Heat44%100105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
36
25
17
5
1
2
1
0
4
1
4
6-6
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
34
33
17
4
2
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
54%
3-3
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
33
28
8
10
1
1
1
0
5
0
10
0-2
0%
4-4
3-6
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
26
28
15
0
6
2
1
1
2
0
0
9-9
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
24
29
0
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
0-4
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
21
17
11
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
20
14
10
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
19
25
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
15
16
5
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.5
6
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
33
33
18
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
32
31
17
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
29
30
17
4
8
2
1
1
3
0
4
7-8
88%
5-12
7-15
42%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
23
22
9
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
0-3
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
21
21
13
12
0
3
0
1
2
5
7
3-4
75%
5-8
4-7
63%
53%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
33
32
10
9
0
0
1
2
2
2
7
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
25
18
6
1
2
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
21
20
7
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
18
13
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.1
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.