Final Win Prob. pScore
2237%102
102
1063%106
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
104.19892.4
HOU logo Rockets
116.299106.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU102
115
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
115
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
115
Q4 - 0:19.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
115
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS McDaniels 3' Driving Layup102
115
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUROCKETS Rebound102
115
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMISS McDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2102
115
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)102
115
Q4 - 0:35.0MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Twardoski)102
114
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stokes 1 AST)102
114
Q4 - 1:05HOUBeverley 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)99
114
Q4 - 1:11HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
112
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
112
Q4 - 1:25HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
112
Q4 - 1:25HOUMcDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
111
Q4 - 1:25MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Scott)99
110
Q4 - 1:43MIAUdrih 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 3 AST)99
110
Q4 - 1:53MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
110
Q4 - 1:54HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
110
Q4 - 2:06MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
110
Q4 - 2:06MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
110
Q4 - 2:06HOUBrewer Personal Block Foul (P4.PN) (K.Mauer)95
110
Q4 - 2:20MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
110
Q4 - 2:21HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot95
110
Q4 - 2:47MIAGreen 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)95
110
Q4 - 2:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
110
Q4 - 2:58HOUMISS Jones 4' Driving Layup93
110
Q4 - 3:07HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Harden93
110
Q4 - 3:07HOUSUB: McDaniels FOR Ariza93
110
Q4 - 3:07MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Scott)93
110
Q4 - 3:07MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)93
110
Q4 - 3:16MIASUB: Udrih FOR Winslow93
110
Q4 - 3:16MIASUB: Richardson FOR Wade93
110
Q4 - 3:16MIASUB: Stokes FOR Bosh93
110
Q4 - 3:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Deng93
110
Q4 - 3:16MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)93
110
Q4 - 3:18HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)93
110
Q4 - 3:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
107
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 293
107
Q4 - 3:30MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
107
Q4 - 3:30HOUThornton Personal Block Foul (P1.PN) (K.Scott)92
107
Q4 - 3:36MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
107
Q4 - 3:36HOUMISS Harden 22' Jump Shot92
107
Q4 - 4:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
107
Q4 - 4:03MIAHeat Rebound91
107
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
107
Q4 - 4:03HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P3.PN) (K.Scott)91
107
Q4 - 4:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
107
Q4 - 4:16HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot91
107
Q4 - 4:29MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)91
107
Q4 - 4:41HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harden 14 AST)91
107
Q4 - 4:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
104
Q4 - 4:55HOUSUB: Beverley FOR Lawson90
104
Q4 - 4:55MIASUB: Bosh FOR Stoudemire90
104
Q4 - 4:55MIASUB: Green FOR Dragic90
104
Q4 - 4:55HOUSUB: Jones FOR Smith90
104
Q4 - 4:55MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
104
Q4 - 4:55HOUSmith S.FOUL (P5.T4) (S.Twardoski)89
104
Q4 - 4:55HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)89
104
Q4 - 4:56HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
104
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup89
104
Q4 - 5:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
104
Q4 - 5:05HOUMISS Thornton 2' Cutting Layup Shot89
104
Q4 - 5:10HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
104
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 5:34HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)89
104
Q4 - 5:44MIAWinslow Personal Take Foul (P4.T3) (K.Mauer)89
101
Q4 - 5:46HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
101
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot89
101
Q4 - 5:57MIASUB: Deng FOR Green89
101
Q4 - 5:5789
101
Q4 - 6:13HOUSmith 2' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)89
101
Q4 - 6:37MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)89
99
Q4 - 6:37MIAStoudemire 2' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)89
99
Q4 - 6:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
99
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Layup Shot87
99
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot87
99
Q4 - 6:52HOUSmith 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Harden 13 AST)87
99
Q4 - 6:59MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)87
97
Q4 - 7:16HOUSUB: Harden FOR Terry85
97
Q4 - 7:16HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Brewer85
97
Q4 - 7:16MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Bosh85
97
Q4 - 7:16MIASUB: Wade FOR Udrih85
97
Q4 - 7:16HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T10)85
97
Q4 - 7:16HOUBrewer OFF.Foul (P3) (S.Twardoski)85
97
Q4 - 7:32HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
97
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot85
97
Q4 - 7:47HOUThornton 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)85
97
Q4 - 8:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
95
Q4 - 8:09MIAHeat Rebound84
95
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 284
95
Q4 - 8:09HOUSmith S.FOUL (P4.T3) (K.Mauer)84
95
Q4 - 8:27MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
95
Q4 - 8:28HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot84
95
Q4 - 8:41MIABosh Personal Block Foul (P2.T2) (S.Twardoski)84
95
Q4 - 8:49HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
95
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Bank Shot84
95
Q4 - 9:13HOUThornton 19' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)84
95
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)84
93
Q4 - 9:43MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
93
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot81
93
Q4 - 9:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
93
Q4 - 9:59HOUSUB: Smith FOR Jones80
93
Q4 - 9:59MIAHeat Rebound80
93
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 280
93
Q4 - 9:59HOUJones S.FOUL (P4.T2) (K.Scott)80
93
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound80
93
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
93
Q4 - 10:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)80
93
Q4 - 10:24HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
93
Q4 - 10:24HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 10:24MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Twardoski)80
91
Q4 - 10:35HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
91
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot80
91
Q4 - 10:42HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Mauer)80
91
Q4 - 10:58HOUThornton 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)80
91
Q4 - 11:07HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
89
Q4 - 11:08MIABrewer BLOCK (2 BLK)80
89
Q4 - 11:23HOUJones 3' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)80
89
Q4 - 11:41HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
87
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
87
Q4 - 12:0080
87
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU80
87
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound80
87
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 47' 3PT Jump Shot80
87
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
87
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot80
87
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
87
Q3 - 0:41.0MIABosh 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)80
84
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
84
Q3 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot78
84
Q3 - 1:09MIADragic 2' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)78
84
Q3 - 1:15MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
84
Q3 - 1:16HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup76
84
Q3 - 1:36HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
84
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
84
Q3 - 1:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
84
Q3 - 1:53HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 276
84
Q3 - 1:53HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
84
Q3 - 1:53MIAGreen S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Twardoski)76
83
Q3 - 2:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
83
Q3 - 2:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
83
Q3 - 2:07HOUJones S.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Twardoski)74
83
Q3 - 2:24HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Beverley74
83
Q3 - 2:24HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Ariza74
83
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade74
83
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Green FOR Stoudemire74
83
Q3 - 2:24MIASUB: Dragic FOR Deng74
83
Q3 - 2:24MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)74
83
Q3 - 2:24HOUJones Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)74
83
Q3 - 2:31MIAHarden STEAL (2 STL)74
81
Q3 - 2:42MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
81
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot74
81
Q3 - 2:55HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
81
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
81
Q3 - 3:25HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)74
81
Q3 - 3:49MIAUdrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)74
78
Q3 - 4:12HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)72
78
Q3 - 4:21HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
75
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot72
75
Q3 - 4:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
75
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup72
75
Q3 - 4:35MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)72
75
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot72
75
Q3 - 4:54HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 4:54MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic72
74
Q3 - 4:54HOUSUB: Thornton FOR Brewer72
74
Q3 - 4:54HOUROCKETS Rebound72
74
Q3 - 4:54HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 1 of 272
74
Q3 - 4:54MIA72
74
Q3 - 4:54MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Scott)72
74
Q3 - 4:56MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)72
74
Q3 - 5:08HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
74
Q3 - 5:12HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
74
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot72
74
Q3 - 5:23MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
74
Q3 - 5:23HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
74
Q3 - 5:34MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
74
Q3 - 5:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
74
Q3 - 5:51HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 269
74
Q3 - 5:51HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)69
74
Q3 - 5:51MIADeng S.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Scott)69
73
Q3 - 6:06MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)69
73
Q3 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
73
Q3 - 6:20HOUMISS Jones 1' Layup66
73
Q3 - 6:24HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
73
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup66
73
Q3 - 6:28MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
73
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup66
73
Q3 - 6:52HOUSUB: Jones FOR Smith66
73
Q3 - 6:52HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
73
Q3 - 7:00MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)66
73
Q3 - 7:18HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
73
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
71
Q3 - 7:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
71
Q3 - 7:41HOUMISS Ariza Driving Dunk61
71
Q3 - 7:52MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh61
71
Q3 - 7:52HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
71
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)61
71
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
71
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
71
Q3 - 8:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
71
Q3 - 8:19HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot59
71
Q3 - 8:32MIAStoudemire Dunk (12 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)59
71
Q3 - 8:54HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)57
71
Q3 - 9:05MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)57
68
Q3 - 9:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
68
Q3 - 9:27HOUMISS Smith 5' Floating Jump Shot57
68
Q3 - 9:39MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
68
Q3 - 9:39MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper55
68
Q3 - 9:53MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
68
Q3 - 9:59HOUSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)55
68
Q3 - 10:11HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
66
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 10:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
66
Q3 - 10:28HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 10:37MIAStoudemire L.B.FOUL (P3.T2) (K.Mauer)55
66
Q3 - 10:39HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
66
Q3 - 10:40MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)55
66
Q3 - 10:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
66
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 5' Floating Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
66
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 11:02HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)55
66
Q3 - 11:15MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Twardoski)55
63
Q3 - 11:16HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
63
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 11:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
63
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 11:49HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)55
63
Q3 - 12:0055
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
60
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
60
Q2 - 0:08.0MIASUB: Winslow FOR Dragic55
57
Q2 - 0:08.0MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Twardoski)55
57
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
57
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot55
57
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Green FOR Winslow55
57
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)55
57
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
57
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADeng Running Dunk (8 PTS)55
55
Q2 - 0:54.0HOULawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)53
55
Q2 - 1:06MIAWade 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)53
55
Q2 - 1:11HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)51
55
Q2 - 1:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
55
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot51
55
Q2 - 1:37HOUHarden 7' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
55
Q2 - 1:51MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
53
Q2 - 2:10HOUJones 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)48
53
Q2 - 2:30HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
51
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 248
51
Q2 - 2:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 2:30HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Beverley47
51
Q2 - 2:30HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)47
51
Q2 - 2:30HOUJones S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Twardoski)47
51
Q2 - 2:56HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)47
51
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
48
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 3:14HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Mauer)45
48
Q2 - 3:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
48
Q2 - 3:23HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
48
Q2 - 3:34HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
48
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot45
48
Q2 - 3:58HOUAriza 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)45
48
Q2 - 4:02HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
46
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 4:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
46
Q2 - 4:16HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
46
Q2 - 4:28MIAWinslow Foul Turnover (P3.T12)45
46
Q2 - 4:28MIAWinslow Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4) (S.Twardoski)45
46
Q2 - 4:32HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)45
46
Q2 - 4:45MIADragic 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
46
Q2 - 4:49MIASUB: Bosh FOR Green43
46
Q2 - 4:49MIASUB: Winslow FOR Udrih43
46
Q2 - 4:49MIASUB: Dragic FOR Stoudemire43
46
Q2 - 4:49HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Lawson43
46
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound43
46
Q2 - 4:49MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)43
46
Q2 - 5:13HOUAriza 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)43
46
Q2 - 5:21HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
44
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot43
44
Q2 - 5:36HOUHarden 2' Running Layup (10 PTS)43
44
Q2 - 5:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
42
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
42
Q2 - 5:59HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)43
42
Q2 - 6:12MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
39
Q2 - 6:12MIAStoudemire 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)43
39
Q2 - 6:13MIAMISS Udrih 1' Layup41
39
Q2 - 6:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
39
Q2 - 6:19HOUMISS Jones 2' Driving Layup41
39
Q2 - 6:30MIAStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS)41
39
Q2 - 6:32MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
39
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup39
39
Q2 - 6:45HOUBeverley Violation:Kicked Ball (.)39
39
Q2 - 6:54HOUSUB: Jones FOR Smith39
39
Q2 - 6:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
39
Q2 - 6:54HOUSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
39
Q2 - 6:54HOUSmith OFF.Foul (P3) (S.Twardoski)39
39
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)39
39
Q2 - 7:05HOUBeverley 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
39
Q2 - 7:16MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P3.T10)39
37
Q2 - 7:16MIAStoudemire Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T3) (K.Mauer)39
37
Q2 - 7:24MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
37
Q2 - 7:25HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
37
Q2 - 7:32MIAHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation39
37
Q2 - 7:32MIAStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)39
37
Q2 - 7:46MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
37
Q2 - 7:46HOUMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 239
37
Q2 - 7:46MIASUB: Stoudemire FOR Winslow39
37
Q2 - 7:46MIASUB: Deng FOR Dragic39
37
Q2 - 7:46MIASUB: Wade FOR Bosh39
37
Q2 - 7:46HOULawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
37
Q2 - 7:46MIAUdrih S.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Mauer)39
36
Q2 - 7:54HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
36
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot39
36
Q2 - 8:21HOULawson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)39
36
Q2 - 8:3139
34
Q2 - 8:31MIAUdrih L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)39
34
Q2 - 8:31HOUROCKETS Rebound39
34
Q2 - 8:31HOUMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot39
34
Q2 - 8:36HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
34
Q2 - 8:37HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup39
34
Q2 - 8:55MIAGreen 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)39
34
Q2 - 9:07HOUSUB: Beverley FOR Terry37
34
Q2 - 9:07HOUSUB: Harden FOR Brewer37
34
Q2 - 9:07HOUSmith P.FOUL (P2.T4) (K.Scott)37
34
Q2 - 9:07HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)37
34
Q2 - 9:18MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)37
34
Q2 - 9:22MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
34
Q2 - 9:23HOUMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
34
Q2 - 9:37MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)37
34
Q2 - 9:46MIAUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
34
Q2 - 9:47HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
34
Q2 - 10:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
34
Q2 - 10:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 10:10HOUSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Twardoski)35
34
Q2 - 10:24HOUBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)35
34
Q2 - 10:36HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 235
31
Q2 - 10:36HOUSUB: Smith FOR Jones35
31
Q2 - 10:36HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Thornton35
31
Q2 - 10:36MIAHeat Rebound35
31
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 235
31
Q2 - 10:36HOUJones Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2) (K.Scott)35
31
Q2 - 10:44MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
31
Q2 - 10:45HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
31
Q2 - 10:59MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)35
31
Q2 - 11:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
31
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup33
31
Q2 - 11:15MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
31
Q2 - 11:16HOUMISS Jones 3' Turnaround Hook Shot33
31
Q2 - 11:36MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
31
Q2 - 11:36MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
31
Q2 - 11:36HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Mauer)31
31
Q2 - 11:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
31
Q2 - 11:48HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot31
31
Q2 - 12:0031
31
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
31
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU31
31
Q1 - 0:11.0HOUThornton 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
31
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
28
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Brewer 2' Running Layup31
28
Q1 - 0:36.0MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)31
28
Q1 - 0:48.0HOULawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
28
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWinslow 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)31
28
Q1 - 1:07HOULawson 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
28
Q1 - 1:21MIAWinslow 4' Layup (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)29
26
Q1 - 1:42HOUBrewer 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)27
26
Q1 - 1:55MIAWinslow 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)27
24
Q1 - 2:07HOUBrewer 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)27
24
Q1 - 2:24MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)27
22
Q1 - 2:36HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Harden25
22
Q1 - 2:36HOUHarden L.B.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Scott)25
22
Q1 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound25
22
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS McRoberts 16' Jump Shot25
22
Q1 - 2:49HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
22
Q1 - 2:49HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
21
Q1 - 2:49MIAMcRoberts S.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Mauer)25
20
Q1 - 2:52MIAGreen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)25
20
Q1 - 3:00HOUJones 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)23
20
Q1 - 3:15HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Ariza23
18
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Deng23
18
Q1 - 3:15MIASUB: Bosh FOR Stoudemire23
18
Q1 - 3:15MIAStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
18
Q1 - 3:36HOUHarden 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)23
18
Q1 - 3:49MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
16
Q1 - 3:49MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
16
Q1 - 3:49HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T2) (K.Scott)21
16
Q1 - 3:59MIASUB: Green FOR Wade21
16
Q1 - 3:59MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
16
Q1 - 4:09HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)21
16
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
13
Q1 - 4:26HOUSUB: Thornton FOR Smith19
13
Q1 - 4:26HOUSUB: Terry FOR Beverley19
13
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Udrih FOR Dragic19
13
Q1 - 4:42HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 4:58MIADeng Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)19
11
Q1 - 5:06MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
11
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Jones Hook Shot17
11
Q1 - 5:24MIAStoudemire 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
11
Q1 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound15
11
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 7' Turnaround Jump Shot15
11
Q1 - 6:02HOUHarden 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)15
11
Q1 - 6:08MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)15
9
Q1 - 6:24HOUSmith 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
9
Q1 - 6:46MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh15
7
Q1 - 6:46HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
7
Q1 - 6:46MIAStoudemire 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
7
Q1 - 6:55MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
7
Q1 - 6:56HOUMISS Beverley 7' Floating Jump Shot13
7
Q1 - 7:18MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
7
Q1 - 7:18HOUSUB: Jones FOR Brewer12
7
Q1 - 7:18HOUBeverley S.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)12
7
Q1 - 7:18MIADragic 3' Layup (6 PTS)12
7
Q1 - 7:22MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 7:23HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)10
7
Q1 - 7:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
7
Q1 - 7:59HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
7
Q1 - 8:15MIADeng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 8:21MIAHeat Rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:21MIABeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)6
7
Q1 - 8:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
7
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 8:41MIADeng 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7
Q1 - 8:53HOUMISS Brewer 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 9:07MIADragic 1' Layup (4 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 9:16MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:17HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup2
7
Q1 - 9:24MIAStoudemire L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Mauer)2
7
Q1 - 9:24HOUROCKETS Rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup2
7
Q1 - 9:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:31HOUMISS Ariza 1' Alley Oop Layup2
7
Q1 - 9:38MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 9:50HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
7
Q1 - 10:02MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
7
Q1 - 10:23HOUAriza Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)0
7
Q1 - 10:28HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:29MIAAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)0
5
Q1 - 10:30MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
5
Q1 - 10:32MIABrewer BLOCK (1 BLK)0
5
Q1 - 10:44HOUSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)0
5
Q1 - 10:58MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
3
Q1 - 11:22HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
3
Q1 - 11:40HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Stoudemire 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Smith vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
39
54%
HOU
19
34
56%
Midrange
MIA
11
29
38%
HOU
9
15
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
HOU
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
HOU
11
16
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1638%8.0 / 21
G. Dragic1454%7.0 / 13
A. Stoudemire1454%7.0 / 13
C. Bosh1343%6.5 / 15
G. Green1381%6.5 / 8
J. Winslow1192%5.5 / 6
B. Udrih440%2.0 / 5
J. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2662%13.0 / 21
J. Smith1973%9.5 / 13
M. Thornton1882%9.0 / 11
P. Beverley1488%7.0 / 8
T. Jones1150%5.5 / 11
C. Brewer1050%5.0 / 10
T. Ariza945%4.5 / 10
T. Lawson563%2.5 / 4
K. McDaniels350%1.5 / 3
J. Terry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+18
-17
99
HOU
88
+6
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
HOU
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
108.1
MIA 104.1
HOU 116.2 +12.1
Pace
93.7
97.9
MIA 92.4
HOU 106.6 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.2
MIA 15.6
HOU 13.5 −2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.6%
MIA 48.2%
HOU 61.9% +13.7%
TO %
14.0%
15.5%
MIA 14.9%
HOU 10.8% −4.1%
ORB %
23.9%
25.7%
MIA 29.5% +22.2%
HOU 7.3%
FTrt
28.2
35.2
MIA 31.8 +12.8
HOU 19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
58.9%
MIA 68.4% +0.2%
HOU 68.2%
STL %
7.2%
10.2%
MIA 5.1%
HOU 9.1% +4.0%
BLK %
10.3%
9.0%
MIA 6.1%
HOU 8.8% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.7%
MIA 51.0%
HOU 61.2% +10.2%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.5%
MIA 53.8%
HOU 55.9% +2.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.9%
MIA 37.9%
HOU 60.0% +22.1%
3P %
33.6%
34.7%
MIA 35.3%
HOU 45.7% +10.4%
FT %
74.4%
69.5%
MIA 74.1% +5.3%
HOU 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
40.0%
MIA 45.9% +5.4%
HOU 40.5%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
23.0%
MIA 34.1%
HOU 17.9% −16.3%
3P Att. %
22.1%
37.0%
MIA 20.0%
HOU 41.7% +21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes25.422.3
Points102115
Rebounds5134
Assists2630
Steals59
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)3 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)31 (1)
Field Goals38-8544-84
At-the-Rim FG21-3919-34
Midrange FG11-299-15
2-Point FG32-6828-49
3-Point FG6-1716-35
Free Throws20-2711-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
33.0
14
54%
4
6
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-3
33%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
30.4
13
43%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
6-8
75%
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
29.4
16
38%
4
4
1
1
3
0
3
1
4-6
67%
6-18
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
28.8
17
61%
8
3
1
0
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
23.6
14
54%
10
1
0
0
3
3
6
4
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
32.1
11
92%
8
2
3
0
4
4
1
7
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
25.0
13
81%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
24.5
4
40%
4
5
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#8 · G · 6'3" 186 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
51%
51
26
5
3
17
0
13
38
20-27
74%
32-68
47%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.