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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers69%10797
18Hornets31%100106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.1
39
35
23
6
6
1
1
2
1
0
6
3-5
60%
10-18
7-14
56%
54%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.4
37
31
14
3
0
4
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
4-9
44%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.9
37
33
26
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
9-13
6-13
69%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.4
36
33
12
12
1
2
1
2
1
1
11
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.9
34
32
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.6
22
22
4
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.1
11
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.6
9
11
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.6
7
13
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.3
3
0
0-0
39%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
2
0
0-0
52%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.7
2
0
0-0
45%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.4
37
29
11
13
0
0
1
0
1
2
11
1-2
50%
5-13
4-8
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
32
20
24
5
8
0
1
0
5
1
4
8-11
73%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
2-4
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.1
31
19
10
5
5
0
0
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
28
9
6
7
2
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.6
24
27
16
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
24
21
15
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-6
2-5
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.8
20
25
6
4
4
2
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.7
17
5
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-1
29%
51%
1-3
33%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.2
16
19
8
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
11
20
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.7
31
1
4-10
44%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.3
18
1
1-3
45%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
14
0
1-2
43%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.1
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.