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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks
124
3076ers
86
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
25
30
10
4
3
1
2
2
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-9
5-10
22%
52%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
23
27
10
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
22
31
7
6
4
1
1
2
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
5-9
75%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
19
27
5
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
19
28
12
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
26
18
13
7
4
1
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
21
20
12
6
2
2
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
20
13
13
9
1
1
0
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
5-9
1-2
56%
55%
1-1
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
20
8
12
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
4-5
1-2
80%
55%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
17
18
12
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
10
3
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
9
4
9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
1-1
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
8
5
4
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
30
23
17
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
26
31
7
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
6-14
43%
43%
0-2
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
25
25
10
5
3
1
0
1
5
3
2
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
22
27
10
7
5
2
1
1
2
2
5
0-1
0%
5-5
4-8
100%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
21
33
6
6
0
1
2
1
4
1
5
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-4
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
22
23
0
4
2
1
1
4
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
20
27
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.7
20
23
11
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
3-6
50%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
17
18
2
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.4
15
2
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
8
10
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.9
8
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
8
3
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.9
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.