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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Heat35%9993
11Mavericks65%10490
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
33
27
7
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.8
32
30
15
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
6-7
86%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.9
32
32
20
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
10-17
5-10
59%
51%
0-6
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
28
29
18
8
4
1
1
0
1
4
4
6-8
75%
6-18
7-14
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.2
17
22
6
5
1
0
0
4
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.9
30
31
4
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.0
26
22
3
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
3-5
60%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
17
17
10
9
1
1
0
5
1
3
6
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
59%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
15
22
8
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.9
10
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
6
0
0-1
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
5
0
0-1
45%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.1
3
0
0-1
47%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.0
39
29
10
15
4
1
1
0
1
4
11
2-5
40%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.3
37
33
9
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.6
35
26
28
4
1
0
1
3
0
0
4
6-7
86%
8-19
4-8
42%
49%
2-2
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.6
35
26
11
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
3-6
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
32
33
12
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-3
100%
3-10
4-7
30%
53%
1-3
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.6
30
27
11
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
22
8
5
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
9
8
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
10
0
1-2
49%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
10
0
1-2
51%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
10
0
1-2
53%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
6
0
1-1
51%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.3
4
0
0-1
56%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.6
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.