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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pelicans
97
2Spurs
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.9
37
32
28
10
4
4
1
4
4
3
7
6-7
86%
11-21
7-14
52%
49%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
34
33
14
4
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
7-16
4-10
44%
42%
0-1
0%
Bryce Dejean-Jones
G · 6'6" 203 · 23.5
23
24
8
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
40%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
20
20
6
11
0
0
0
0
1
3
8
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
18
29
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
31
30
10
10
0
0
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
3-8
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
30
27
20
4
5
2
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
8-14
4-10
57%
43%
0-4
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
22
13
3
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.8
20
14
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.7
6
8
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.2
3
0
0-1
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
1
0
0-0
43%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
39
24
16
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
4-8
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
36
29
26
5
1
1
2
2
2
0
5
3-4
75%
10-15
4-8
67%
54%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
34
28
36
6
1
1
0
3
2
2
4
12-12
100%
12-20
6-12
60%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
30
23
2
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
27
18
14
5
5
0
0
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
24
20
8
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
22
17
6
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
18
19
0
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
8
17
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
1
17
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
1
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
8
0
2-3
59%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.