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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nuggets34%9881
13Jazz66%10485
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
42
26
11
6
0
3
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
37
32
24
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
12-14
86%
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
2-7
29%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
33
27
9
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-6
50%
3-10
3-8
30%
39%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
29
26
8
6
4
2
1
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
27
25
14
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
4-5
80%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
23
26
10
10
0
2
1
1
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
19
7
0
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.4
15
18
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
15
14
5
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
18
1
2-4
45%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
3
0
1-1
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
3
0
0-0
44%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.9
38
36
16
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
0-4
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.6
35
30
16
11
0
0
1
6
3
3
8
2-4
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.3
34
31
8
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.6
30
34
12
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
60%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.7
27
24
10
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.2
21
16
8
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-1
0%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.8
17
13
6
3
0
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-5
40%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.2
16
19
2
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
10
17
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
10
12
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.9
4
0
1-1
55%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.3
3
0
0-1
55%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.6
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.