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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 4, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors46%105110
11Trail Blazers54%106103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
39.9
36.6
30
71%
6
8
2
2
2
7
0
6
3-5
60%
3-9
3-8
33%
46%
7-10
70%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
35.3
31.8
29
50%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
6-9
67%
10-24
7-14
42%
46%
1-1
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.7
24.7
21.9
14
60%
11
0
0
0
2
1
6
5
4-4
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
22.3
18.5
6
60%
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
13.5
9.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.0
29.8
25.5
12
53%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.9
27.9
25.7
6
100%
4
3
3
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
2-2
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
25.6
25.8
12
51%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.4
20.9
21.3
1
27%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
4.9
0
1-1
54%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
47%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
36.0
32.9
27
55%
5
11
1
1
1
3
1
4
9-10
90%
6-13
5-10
46%
48%
2-7
29%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
33.0
32.2
21
56%
6
2
1
1
0
5
0
6
1-2
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
48%
4-6
67%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.4
31.9
28.9
7
44%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.9
19.6
21.4
6
44%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-4
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
16.2
2.6
2
100%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
33.6
25.0
17
73%
3
1
2
1
0
2
2
1
6-6
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
24.5
25.3
9
41%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
1-5
20%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.2
23.7
21.6
10
78%
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
1-1
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
21.4
22.6
4
67%
7
0
1
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.8
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.3
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.2
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.8
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.