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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 6, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Lakers11%95102
2Spurs89%112106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.3
37
31
14
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 23.7
36
32
21
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
8-12
5-11
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 37.5
33
28
25
2
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
43%
4-14
29%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.2
31
30
15
16
4
2
1
0
3
3
13
5-6
83%
5-12
4-11
42%
40%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 29.2
8
21
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
26
23
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.0
23
27
12
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
17
13
4
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
5
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
16
17
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.7
13
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Anthony Brown
F · 6'7" 224 · 23.3
11
0
0-1
37%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
6
0
1-1
40%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
3
0
0-0
37%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 36.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
34
29
20
13
3
1
2
0
1
5
8
12-15
80%
4-10
5-9
40%
55%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
34
29
26
9
2
0
1
0
1
3
6
4-5
80%
11-18
6-13
61%
51%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
30
16
6
8
5
0
0
3
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
29
29
11
5
2
1
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
26
25
14
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
53%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
24
15
9
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
55%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
23
16
4
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
22
19
13
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
3-11
27%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
9
20
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
9
10
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
9
0
1-1
48%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
8
0
1-2
49%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
6
0
0-1
51%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.