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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 7, 2016
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks60%10494
24Magic40%10196
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.7
35
30
11
6
6
0
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-8
36%
55%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.7
35
27
24
1
5
1
1
0
5
0
1
1-1
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
3-6
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.9
35
25
10
6
2
2
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.0
34
30
14
9
2
2
2
2
0
4
5
3-4
75%
4-12
5-9
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
33
27
23
8
1
2
1
0
4
6
2
4-4
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
50%
3-6
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.8
18
21
6
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
2-3
67%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.6
15
16
0
8
2
0
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.4
13
18
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
11
17
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
11
12
0
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.9
5
0
1-1
53%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.5
4
0
0-0
47%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.8
4
0
1-1
47%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
44
34
19
5
3
1
2
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
8-10
4-9
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
43
25
21
5
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
3-5
60%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
35
31
22
9
2
2
1
0
6
1
8
0-0
-
11-19
8-15
58%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
34
28
11
13
4
2
1
4
0
5
8
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
0-3
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
33
27
12
4
12
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.9
14
22
0
1
2
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-5
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
14
9
5
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
13
15
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
10
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
4
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
48%
Keith Appling
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.0
2
0
0-0
42%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
45%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.